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On June 28th, Germany take on Italy in the second semi-final of Euro 2012.
The roads to the semi-final couldn’t be more different. Germany have dominated every team, while Italy have generally struggled on the finishing front. While Germanys goal difference in each game may not suggest utter dominance – their performance has. Germany have beaten every team with relative ease – that being Portugal, Denmark, Holland and Greece, to get to the semi-final without ever looking in trouble.
Italy on the other hand, have struggled. Despite looking lethal at times, they drew their two big games against Spain and Croatia, with their only win being a game against Ireland, who had nothing to play for at that stage. They dominated England, however required penalties to put the nail in the coffin there.
Lets look at the Italy vs Germany live betting odds:
Germany: 10/11
Draw: 12/5
Italy: 7/2
Those odds are for after 90 minutes. The odds to qualify are Germany 2/5 and Italy 15/8.
Germany have made the sportsbooks take notice, with their performances thus far. They have now became joint favourites to win Euro 2012 with Spain, and it really is hard to bet against them.
And we can’t.
Every game Germany have played, they have won in 90 minutes with a solid performance. Despite that, we’re still getting very good odds on Germany winning within 90 minutes.
We have to take advantage of that.
Italy just aren’t the team that they once were. They’re still solid, but so very few of these players would fit in the Italy team of the Baggio era. Germany meanwhile, thanks to a complete revamp years ago, are an incredibly strong unit who seem to be able to break teams down at will.
I highly expect the same to happen against Italy. And when I look at the 10/11 odds on Germany to win within 90 minutes I think we’re getting a steal. In all 4 prior games, Germany have won in 90 minutes. Hell, in Euro 2012 Qualification Germany won all 10 of their games within 90 minutes. Most of their results were of the same style – they’d concede a goal, but just score more.
I expect the same to happen in the Germany vs Italy Semi Final.
My main Germany vs Italy Betting Tip is for Germany to win in 90 minutes. I’d also recommend over 2.5 goals, which is available for 5/4 odds
Finally, I think betting Germany 2-1 at 8/1 is worth a punt.
