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The very first fixture of Euro 2012 is in Group A, featuring co-hosts Poland taking battle against Greece.
In all honesty, this is most likely going to be a rather dull opener. Poland will be playing rather nervous due to being on “home turf”, and Greece aren’t exactly the most exciting team in the world.
As you can see, the betting market is rather tight but Poland are the favourites to win.
Immediately, I see this as being a mistake by the sportsbooks that we can capitalize on. Fan emotion is probably dictating these surprising betting odds – fans probably think “home advantage” will be a big thing for Poland, when that really isn’t the case. Actually if you look at previous European Championships the opposite is true – the hosts are usually nervous, and don’t do well.
Poland are NOT a great team and don’t deserve these odds. Greece are a very tricky team, who don’t care about entertaining. They won’t feel fan pressure. They won’t care about playing well. As we’ve seen from Greece in previous European Championships and even in the Euro 2012 Qualifiers, they are quite happy to grind out the win.
Bet Greece to win
Additional Poland vs Greece Betting Tips
Poland vs Greece Correct Score:
I can see Greece grinding this game out. Their defense is solid, and I can’t see Poland finding a way through. With the fan pressure, Poland will be making mistakes. I can see Greece scoring relatively early, and capitalizing on a Poland mistake to wrap things up.
Polands vs Greece Half Time/Full Time:
Greece will be happy with drawing this game at half-time. They know that if they can hold it to 0-0 by half-time, Poland will start to get worried and push up more, allowing Greece to counter-attack them.