April 20th, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

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A 3-0 record last night.

I hope everyone has some green to spread around on 4/20 after last night’s 3-0 record. Judging the starting pitchers by their 2019 stats thus far worked out very well on the first day. Although there is always some noise in that.

We had the White Sox over the Tigers. I really like Carlos Rodon here and thought the Sox would hit Jordan Zimmerman. The Tigers starter Zimmerman only allowed one run through the first six innings, but in the seventh trouble hit. He ended up being charged with five runs and the White Sox won 7-3.

The Brewers game was an even bigger surprise. Jhoulys Chacin had a nice start and this game was tied late. The Brewers went to Josh Hader, last year’s most dominating reliever, and he… gave up three runs. A surprise for sure, but it’s what we wanted so I’m happy with it.

Finally, we had Seattle. The Mariners were up 3-1 heading into the 8th and for some reason tried to push it with Marco Gonzales. He ended up being charged with two runs and we had a tie game. Back-to-back homeruns from Tim Beckham and Omar Navarez off Cody Allen put the Ms ahead for good.

I would say that was a good Friday. I am writing these up late on Friday with the idea of hitting these early games, but it doesn’t look like that’s in the cards. There were a few games I flirted with, but I can only really go with this one tip below. No need to force it when we are doing so well.

As always, take special notice of the pitchers as they are always subject to change overnight. Let’s take a look at what we have.

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips:

The Rays have been one of the best teams in baseball to start the season while the Red Sox have been one of the biggest disappointments. This isn’t a Mariners/Astros situation either, the Rays very well may be the best team in the American League East.

Rick Porcello’s struggles have been a big part of that with a 11.12 ERA/7.96 FIP on the early season. The walks have been a huge issue with 12 of them in 11 innings. He’s also allowed three homeruns in three starts. I expect him to get better (he is still on my fantasy team), but this just isn’t the match-up for it.

Charlie Morton was the Rays big offseason acquisition and thus far he has been worth the money. He’s carried over his strikeout numbers from last season to the number and posted a 2.18 ERA/3.06 FIP. Boston’s offense has been a huge disappointment early with just an 80 wRC+. I’m all over the Rays here.

Bet Rays -142