April 1st, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

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A 2-1 record last night.

We had a really fun finish to the Brewers and Cardinals game. We had the over of 8 runs in this one and we entered the ninth inning with the Cards leading 4-3. This is my favorite situation to be in because all they need to do is tie and we win. The Brewers got three straight hits from Ben Gamel, Lorenzo Cain, and Christian Yelich to not only tie but walk this one off. Milwaukee has had a ton of injury issues early on the pitching end, but the offense is looking pretty dang good.

The Rockies offense was a loss for us as they were unable to hurt the Marlins pitching here. Jon Gray had the kind of game I expect with 10 strikeouts of 6.2 innings, but the three runs allowed ended up being enough to lose this one. He left the game with an injury so let’s hope he’s okay.

Our last tip was the Nationals and this line really jumped as the day went on. It opened around -130 and we bet it at -150, but it closed around -180. It’s almost like people realized Patrick Corbin was good. We got a scare in this one as the Mets scored three in the eight to tie it up, but the Nationals were able to walk it off in the ninth. Trea Turner hit a walkoff homer here, his second of the game.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Tips:

I was surprised to see the line on this game. This is the Indians home opener and they’ll send Mike Clevinger to the mound. He had a 3.02 ERA/3.52 FIP last season and this White Sox team was not very impressive against the Royals. This offense is just not scary to me and I think Clevinger and the bullpen can shut them down today.

Ivan Nova is pretty much the definition of a fourth starter. Not great strikeout stuff, shaky walks and a 4.19 ERA/4.57 FIP. I think the Indians get to him here and Cleveland rocks their opener.

I was almost going to take the runline here as it looks really nice at +130. My system likes this game more than any other game except for the Yankees over the Tigers, but it’s early and it’s going to be cold out there. Let’s just stick with moneyline.

Bet Indians -150

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Tips:

Can we really go against the Mariners offense right now? Chris Stratton makes the start for the Angels and I don’t love his chances here. He pitched for the Giants last year (a notoriously pitcher friendly park) in the National League (more pitcher friendly) and posted a 5.09 ERA/4.48 FIP. He’s facing a red hot offense here and I think he’s going to have a rude welcome to the American League.

I can’t just go for the Mariners though. Not with Felix Hernandez on the mound. That’s a sad thing to write, but things don’t appear to be getting any better for Felix. His velocity and strikeouts continue to go down and this looks to be the end of the road for him. He had a 5.55 ERA/5.18 FIP last year. Low strikeouts, escalating walks, and more balls leaving the park. This could get ugly.

Bet Angels/Mariners Over 8.5 Runs