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What a day of darts yesterday, both on and off the oche. We had to nail-biting matches, then Ted Hankey announcing he’s joining the PDC after refusing to sign a BDO contract.
We’ve got the two best players of the week meeting in the final, the two heaviest scorers and the two consistent players: Tony O’Shea and Christian Kist. Most bookies are giving Kist the edge here, so if you were one of the lucky ones that got on at 100-1 and greater on Betfair, you’ll be more than happy and have no doubt traded out to get a nice win regardless of what happens tonight.
Let’s get on to the final tips for the BDO 2012 World Championship.
Tony O’Shea versus Christian Kist.
Kist came through as a qualifier and he’s taking on the veteran from Stockport, Tony O’Shea. O’Shea came in as the 8th seed, while Kist is obviously unseeded.
Kist can feel a bit fortunate to get through, a Ted Hankey imploded after having a dart at the bull to win the match 6-4. But there’s no denying that the Dutchman has played well and deserved his place here. In fact, the first match he’s averaged less than 90 was last night against Hankey. And that was because his 180 scoring deserted him, whereas it’s been strong for the rest of the tournament. He’s scored 25, and only 4 came in the 11 sets last night. Maybe it’s a sign that over the longer format, he’s not experienced enough, but he did win, so it might not be too much of an issue. Especially when you consider he fired in his highest checkout of the tournament on his way to victory!
Tony O’Shea has been Mr Consistency this week. He’s done the business, never really had to elevate his game, as it’s been at a high standard all week, and he’s just done what he does best – win. O’Shea has 18 maximums and a highest checkout of 170, so not bad going at all. He’s been here before, but came up short against a certain PDC-bound Count, and he’ll no doubt be hoping he can stop Kist “doing a Klaasen” tonight.
The thing for me here is O’Shea’s experience. He knows what the final is all about, and he’s played in many, many long games in his time. Kist looked vulnerable last night and I think that was down to the long format, best-of-11 game he played. Yes, he won, but Hankey handed it to him on a plate. So, although O’Shea might be the underdog in the bookies’ eyes, he’s the favourite for me, and a shades of odds-against is very, very appealing.
The bookies can’t split these two when it comes to getting the highest checkout, but looking at O’Shea’s game and his best outs, I can see him punishing Kist and getting some big finishes, as it’s a crucial part of his game. Kist has been finishing well, but he’s trailing on the highest checkout by over 40 points. The bookies can’t split them, but I can.
Finally, the most 180s market is another one I think we can exploit. Just looking at last night’s matches, Kist only hit 4 maximums, while O’Shea hit 6. Not great from either man, but again I think it points to Kist having problems with the longer format. He could prove me completely wrong, but if you add that to the nerves he will no doubt be feeling, I think Tony O’Shea should easily get more 180s than him.
So, to complete the free betting tips for the BDO 2012 World Championship, we’re going for the following:
Tony O’Shea to beat Christian Kist: 11/10 @ Betfair.
Recommend: 2 units.
Tony O’Shea to have the highest checkout against Christian Kist: 10/11 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3.5 units.
Tony O’Shea to score more 180s than Christian Kist: 11/8 @
Recommend: 3.5 units.
And that’s it for the World Championship season. Thanks for taking the time to read my tips for both the PDC and BDO World Championships. I hope you enjoyed reading them as much as I enjoyed writing them. I’ll be back for the PDC World Cup on February 3rd, then all the Premier League action starting on February 9th. I hope you join me for all that action.
Until then, remember our good friends that are offering £50 of free bets to their new customers. Don’t forget to head over to 888.com.