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Well Sunday in the EPL was a bust unfortunately. Luckily all small bets but still a 2u loss. Just glad I didn’t put more on that Liverpool/City double.
Had Burnley to win and they were up 1-0 but Sheff Utd tied it up at 1-1.
Had Newcastle to beat West ham but they fell behind twice and could only end up with the draw.
Then we had the lovely Liverpool/City double where City blew the spot. Early xG maps suggest 3.40 to 0.63 for City. That was crazy they could not get one in and props to Southampton for holding on. Crazy stuff.
The MLS Cup starts on Wednesday. I’ll probably cover that later on once some games have been played. Either way I am looking forward to that tournament and following it. It’s not the Euro 2020 but it’ll do.
Tuesday we’ve got three EPL games. Let’s look at those:
EPL Bets for July 7th, 2020
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea: Chelsea are heavy favourites here as they take on Crystal Palace. Other than that win over Bournemouth, Palace have struggled during the post-pandemic fixtures with three losses and no goals. Chelsea have been pretty solid.
Palace don’t have much to play for as they are safe from relegation. Often a team like that starts playing well due to no pressure but it doesn’t seem that way with Palace.
One concern is that while home/away doesn’t seem to matter as much – Chelsea do seem to bloody keep conceding goals on the road. They may be missing Kante too. However I like Chelsea to get the result here. 1u on Chelsea -1 meaning they have to win by at least 2. 2.25 odds.
Arsenal vs Leicester: Arsenal go from strength to strength after that Brighton loss with a big win over Wolves. Leicester meanwhile returned to form finally with a big win over Palace. Arsenal always concern me because after those three results I can totally see them getting complacent. Leicester have struggled away this year but I think will be more up for this one with more belief. 0.5u on the draw at 3.60 odds as I can see these two canceling each other out.
Watford vs Norwich: Oof. Both teams doing absolutely crap here. Norwich are all but relegated it seems and have given up. Watford meanwhile this is a massive game for them and if they are going to stay away from relegation absolutely need a win here.
While I think Watford are capable of the win here and think it should be something like 2-0 I just don’t have enough faith in them. Their xGA is quite high too and Norwich might find themselves up for it knowing its a 6 pointer.
(Odds on this page are correct as of 2020/07/06 9:08:42 AM EST but are subject to change)