Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Day Seven Tips

Scott
By
Posted: November 18, 2011


A mixed day for us, with us being on both ends of a last leg decider. We got on the good side thanks to Ted Hankey and then we lost out with Dean Winstanley, even though he put in an unbelievable average, and had darts to win the match. And then Terry Jenkins drawing with Wayne Jones on the maximums summed up the average night.

Still, we’re into day seven at the Grand Slam of Darts and we’re 18-14 for the tournament and that leaves us on a profit of +6.84 units for the tournament. Not a bad way to enter the home straight of our free tips for the Grand Slam of Darts.

Some big matches tonight, which is what the Grand Slam is all about. So let’s get onto the tips.

The markets at Betfair’s are always great during the big darts tournaments. Betfair is traditionally the best value around and the ability to trade your position during a match is great. And add in the free bet promotions, you’re onto a winner.

Paul Nicholson versus Steve Beaton.

Paul Nicholson comes into this match against The Adonis having won his group without dropping a point. However, he was made to work by both Wes Newton and Magnus Caris. The later match being a bit worrying for Nicholson, as his form dipped towards the end of the match.

Steve Beaton got through in second place, having beat James Hubbard and Mervyn King, losing narrowly to Phil Taylor in between those wins. Beaton has been his usual consistent self and is showing why he’s still around at this level after all this time.

The thing to note here is that Beaton holds the upper-hand in the head-to-head stats, leading 5-2. He’s won the last three encounters, but the only time they’ve met on TV, Nicholson won 10-3 at the World Matchplay last year.

This is very, very tight and I think there’s value to be had in Beaton here. Beaton’s run last year shows how much he seems to love this stage. I also think the highest checkout is low at around 122.5, as both men are capable of some big checkouts and they’ll be looking to fire them in to try and break.

Steve Beaton to beat Paul Nicholson: 2/1 @ Betfair.

Recommend: 1.5 units.

Highest checkout in Beaton vs Nicholson match over 122.5: 5/6 @ 888.com .

Recommend: 3 units.

Mark Webster versus Martin Phillips.

The battle of the valley, as the left-handed Welshmen face off in the second match of night seven of the Grand Slam of Darts.

Mark Webster won their only encounter 4-0 in 2008, so don’t read too much into that. Both men have been totally solid in their scoring and finishing and Phillips has even the only man to get close to Adrian Lewis this week.

It’s not going to be a 180-flowing classic, but it should be an entertaining match, probably more for the purist than anything. I think Phillips offers a touch of value here, as he’s just been playing the same standard of darts as Webster, so I don’t get the negative response to him from the bookies.

The other market that interests me is the total 180s market. Both men aren’t known for their maximum scoring, and although this match will more than likely go for some time, I can’t see them troubling the maximum counters too much. The line is reasonable at 6.5, so we have to have a dabble.

Martin Phillips to beat Mark Webster: 2/1 @ Betfair.

Recommend: 1.5 units.

Total 180s in Webster versus Phillips match under 6.5: 5/6 @ 888.com .

Recommend: 2 units.

Phil Taylor versus Wes Newton.

Ordinarily I’d be all over newton’s chances here, but there’s just something about the way he played against Nicholson that showed me that I don’t think he’s in the best form to take on Taylor. Newton has only won 1 time out of the 18 meetings between the two and it was in September this year.

Newton, in my opinion, would be able to must up the form that had taken him into the top 8 in the world, but he might just snatch a few legs. It might not be a walkover, but I can’t see Newton doing it.

As with most Phil Taylor matches, there’s no value out there, but just watch it, as it could be interesting.

Recommend: No bet.

Adrian Lewis versus John Part.

From one one-sided encounter to another. Do I honestly think John Part can hang with Adrian Lewis? In a word – no. Lewis has swept aside the three men put in front of him already in this tournament and I can’t see Part, who struggled through his group games, to be any different.

Lewis looks like he could easily average over 100 in his matches at the moment, while Part is lucky to be getting near the mid-90s. The Canadian’s only chance is that Lewis’ double deserts him. However, he seems to have avoided these demons so far during the Grand Slam of Darts, so I can’t see why it would happen now (although, knowing Adrian Lewis, it’s possible!).

The head-to-head is level at 4-4, although their last meeting was in a Players Championship tournament in September of last year.

While Part has shown a bit of a resurgence, I think this is a step too far. But Lewis is around 1/4 and that’s no value at all.

I can’t find an angle I like for this match, so I can’t really give any advice out. I do think the maximums will flow from Lewis, but the line is rather his, and the handicap line is just spot on, in my opinion, at -3.5. Just enjoy this, as Lewis could bring the fireworks.

Recommend: No bet.

And that’s it for day seven of the Grand Slam of Darts. While the second two matches could be blow outs, the first two matches could be absolute crackers. So enjoy it and happy betting!

Again, I’ll leave you with a link to my favourite bookmaker at the moment, 888.com .



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