June 1st, 2022 MLB Betting Tips



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Five MLB tips on Patreon, three are below.

Our baseball tips had a very successful run in May with a 46-34 record. It feels like this is the time of the year when the System is at its best so I’m going to keep on churning out tips all month long.

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips:

SEA – Robbie Ray 4.75 ERA/4.18 FIP
BAL – Kyle Bradish 7.31 ERA/5.58 FIP

The Mariners came through for us in big way last night and they draw a really nice match-up here again tonight. They crush righties and have been extremely hot over the past two weeks.

Ray has been pitching much better of late and the Orioles have just a 77 wRC+ against lefties.
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The System likes this for the full game as well, but this is a better price and I don’t trust the Mariners bullpen.

Mariners First 5 Innings (-135)

Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips:

CHW – Michael Kopech 1.29 ERA/2.71 FIP
TOR – Hyun-Jin Ryu 5.48 ERA/4.31 FIP


Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Betting Tips:

MIN – Bailey Ober 3.25 ERA/3.03 FIP
DET – Tarik Skubal 2.44 ERA/2.04 FIP

Skubal has been amazing, but I think he is pitching pretty far over his ceiling right now. He had a 20.5% HR/FB rate over the past two seasons, but is only at 4.5% for this year. That will come up and this is a tough match-up for him, The Twins have been hitting well and have a 119 wRC+ against lefties this year.

Ober is nothing to get excited about, but neither is the Tigers offense against righties. They have just a 71 wRC+ against them and they’ve been cold of late with a 80 wRC+ over the past two weeks.

Twins First 5 Innings (-105)

Cincinnati Reds at Boston Red Sox Betting Tips:

CIN – Hunter Greene 5.89 ERA/6.70 FIP
BOS – Garrett Whitlock 3.49 ERA/3.48 FIP


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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Betting Tips:

MIL – Jason Alexander 4.44 ERA/4.50 FIP (Projected)
CHC – Kyle Hendricks 5.20 ERA/5.64 FIP


A rookie pitcher making his debut here, but the projections on him are decent enough and Hendricks has really struggled.

The Brewers offense has a 110 wRC+ against righties and I think they will hit Hendricks hard today.

Jason Alexander is low strikeouts, but a strong groundball rate. The Cubs offense is average at best.

System likes the Brewers both ways here, but the full game is the best value and I trust the Brewers offense more than Alexander if that makes sense.

Brewers Moneyline (-109)
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