June 9th, 2021 MLB Betting Tips

MLB System picks for June 9th, 2021.

All MLB tips based on the starting pitchers listed. Tips should be considered void if any pitching changes are made unless otherwise noted. Occasionally the “follower” will be listed as we are betting on who will pitch the bulk of the innings.

Question: What are these stats?
Answer: Check out our MLB System Stats Guide to find out.

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles Tips:

Pitcher FIP- HR/9+ K%+ BB%+ Bullpen FIP-
Team wRC+
Rank BP FIP- L14
wRC+ L14
Rank
Taijuan Walker 76 29 98 118 80 1 86 10
BAL   90 97 89 99 14 126 3
Matt Harvey 106 116 77 81 96 12 79 5
NYM   79 103 95 94 17 118 5

It feels like the Mets are starting to hit the ball and that makes them very dangerous. They have a 118 wRC+ over the past two weeks and Matt Harvey is a pitcher I have no issues betting against. The former Met faced his former team earlier this season and gave up seven runs. He’s allowed five or more in three of his past four starts.

An easy bet on the Mets here.

Pick: Bet Mets Moneyline

USA: Best Odds: -128 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.78 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
(Odds correct as of 2021/06/09 12:40:52 PM EST but are subject to change.)

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Tips:

Pitcher FIP- HR/9+ K%+ BB%+ Bullpen FIP-
Team wRC+
Rank BP FIP- L14
wRC+ L14
Rank
Brett Anderson 139 149 52 80 110 22 82 6
CIN   124 97 93 105 7 104 11
Vladimir Gutierrez 113 78 62 138 117 29 128 30
MIL   97 115 102 86 26 103 12

I’m not in love with Guiterrez, but the system likes the Reds a lot here. Anderson is very hittable and the Reds are one of the better homerun hitting teams.

The Brewers offense has been the worst in the league against right handed pitching this season.

Pick: Bet Reds Moneyline

USA: Best Odds: -121 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.82 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
(Odds correct as of 2021/06/09 12:40:52 PM EST but are subject to change.)

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Tips:

Pitcher FIP- HR/9+ K%+ BB%+ Bullpen FIP-
Team wRC+
Rank BP FIP- L14
wRC+ L14
Rank
Jake Odorizzi 138 184 98 111 114 27 125 29
BOS   115 100 82 104 9 83 26
Nathan Eovaldi 60 23 97 58 89 5 97 16
HOU   100 76 104 119 1 134 1

I added in the current season home/road splits and that stat really takes the Red Sox over the top here. The system likes the Red Sox regardless, but Eovaldi has a 4.47 ERA/1.88 FIP at home this year and I like this match-up for him.

Odorizzi has been hit hard this season and the Red Sox offense are capable of doing just that.

Pick: Bet Red Sox Moneyline

USA: Best Odds: -135 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.74 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
(Odds correct as of 2021/06/09 12:40:52 PM EST but are subject to change.)

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Tips:

Pitcher FIP- HR/9+ K%+ BB%+ Bullpen FIP-
Team wRC+
Rank BP FIP- L14
wRC+ L14
Rank
Gerrit Cole 46 60 152 44 87 4 91 13
MIN   120 98 102 105 7 102 13
Randy Dobnak 114 117 64 65 113 25 105 19
NYY   101 105 121 95 16 85 24

The Yankees haven’t quite been what you expect from the Yankees thus far, but Gerrit Cole is still amazing and this team is still an offensive threat against a below average pitcher.

I know the Twins offense is good, but this line just makes no sense to me. Cole has a 2.26 ERA/1.90 FIP on the season. Dobnak has a 6.19 ERA/4.65 FIP. This game is a steal at this price.

Pick: Bet Yankees First 5 Runline -0.5

USA: Best Odds: -135 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.74 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
(Odds correct as of 2021/06/09 12:40:52 PM EST but are subject to change.)

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