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PDC 2013 World Championship Day Six Premium Picks.
What a night of darts on Day Five of the PDC 2013 World Championship. While we got the now obligatory 3-0 wins for the seeds, Lourence Ilagan provided some welcome entertainment through his dancing, and also his darting ability before succumbing to Colin Osborne. And there was also the small matter of the King/Winstanley epic, and Over The Top’s amazing interview after it. Seriously, if you didn’t see Winstanley’s interview last night, try and catch it, as it’s amazing viewing; he comes across as a top bloke, and gives a very unique insight into his training regime for the World Championship. Tonight, we don’t look like having that kind of contest, but you never know, there could be some close matches that we’re not expecting. I’m not holding out much hope of that, but I am holding out some hope of a few winners!
The Premium Picks went 2-1 last night, taking them to 9-9 after four days of the PDC 2013 World Championship, with a profit of +6.42 units.
Before we get into the tips, I want to remind you of the great offer from Victor Chandler. Victor Chandler are refunding all bets placed on the outright market until the start of the second round if Phil Taylor wins the World Championship.
Justin Pipe (11) Vs Andy Jenkins.
And we start off with one of the least inspiring matches of the entire week, with Justin Pipe taking on Andy Jenkins.
It’s been a fantastic 12 months for Justin Pipe, as I’m sure you’re aware, and he was momentarily in the Top 10 until Michael van Gerwen won the World Grand Prix and pushed him into 11th. Pipe has won one floor tournament this year, and also a European Tour event in Austria. He’s also had his best run in the Majors with a quarter-final appearance in the World Matchplay and the World Grand Prix, and also a last 16 in last year’s World Championship. His semi-final at the Players Championship was also impressive, coming unstuck against Kim Huybrechts. Yes, he’s been off the boil for a few months, but that run showed he wasn’t floundering.
Andy Jenkins is back at the World Championship after a couple of years in the wilderness, after a terrible time away from the oche for the past few years. He’s the lowest ranked player to qualify through the Order of Merit, thanks to qualifying for four European Tour events, as his floor tournament results have been nothing to write home about, having 3 Last 16 finishes as his best results on the ProTour, away from the European Tour. But there’s no denying Jenkins is a player to be reckoned with on his day, as a former Top 16 player, and also a former UK Open, World Grand Prix and World Championship semi-finalist. There was also the question of his ban, which caused him to plummet down the rankings as he wasn’t able to defend any of his money on the Order of Merit. And when you slip down and don’t qualify for all tournaments, getting back up there is always difficult.
This is a very, very interesting match up. Pipe is the 11th seed thanks to his solid performances over the past 18 months. However, the interesting stat here is that Jenkins leads the head-to-head 4-1, with Pipe’s only win coming back in 2009. Jenkins won their two meetings this year, winning 6-5 in Killarney on the floor, and then 6-2 in the Dutch Masters. So Pipe’s 2/7 looks a tad short, and Jenkins looks a tad on the big side. We’re going for the value here.
Andy Jenkins to beat Justin Pipe: 11/4 @
Recommend: 1 unit.
Haruki Muramatsu Vs Dave Harrington.
I know next to nothing about Dave Harrington, but having looked at the New Zealand qualifier, he didn’t have a tough field to get through. Haruki Muramatsu is making his third appearance at the World Championship, winning his two qualifying matches, but losing 3-0 to Ronnie Baxter and the same scoreline to Phil Taylor. However, he did break Phil Taylor twice, and won one leg on his throw, so it was a solid performance from the Japanese thrower. I can’t see Harrington stopping him from making it to a third first round match and there’s a little bit of value, I believe, considering Muramatsu won his other two prelim games 4-1 and 4-2, with his 4-2 win over Dennis Nilsson particularly impressive.
Haruki Maramatsu to beat Dave Harrington: 4/7 @
Recommend: 3.5 unit.
Ronnie Baxter (18) Vs Dennis Priestley.
This would, once upon a time, have been many people’s idea of a final. Both men are great servants to the game, and both men are now entering the twilight of their darting careers, especially Dennis Priestley.
Not the greatest of times for Ronnie Baxter in 2012, but he did pick up one floor tournament, while others haven’t managed it. He also got to the semi-finals of the World Matchplay. So not a classics year, but more players have had far worse ones. It’s been all about consolidation for The Rocket, he needs a good run at the Ally Pally this year to keep his ranking in the Top 20.
There’s nothing left to say about Dennis Priestley, as it’s all been said before. He’s a legend of the game, and he hasn’t actually had the bad of a year compared to last year. He’s made two quarter-finals and one final in November, so he’s clearly in-form. He’s also made two other semis and two other quarters in the year, so it’s not been a bad year. The only downside is his lack of TV exposure this year. But a good run here could change that.
Both men will be disappointed with the draw, as it’s a tough game for both men. Baxter leads the head-to-head 7-4, but Priestley won their last encounter in November on the floor. I can’t pick a winner here, but I think we’re going to get a lot of legs, and a lot of maximums, as both men can be prolific on the treble 20. The value is there to be had, so let’s get stuck in.
Over 6.5 180s in Dennis Priestley Vs Ronnie Baxter match: 4/6 @
Recommend: 1.5 units.
Colin Lloyd (23) Vs Darin Young.
Another match that isn’t going to instill excitement in tonight’s action. We have Colin Lloyd, former World Number One taking on the top American, Darin Young. ‘Scrappy’ is the word that comes to mind.
One Players Championship success this year for Colin Lloyd, but he’s not made it past the Last 32 of the Majors, with his best result off the floor coming at the European Championship, where he reached the quarter-finals. So for a man who was once on top of the world, he’s now struggling to stay in the Top 32. But Lloyd can still play decent darts, and his run to the Last 16 last year showed that.
Darin Young is the elder statesman of North American darts now. He’s playing in his 7th PDC World Championship, and his best result came in 2010, where he made it into the second round. He’s had great results on the North American Tour, but we’ve not seen him on our screens since the World Cup, where he reached the quarter-finals. It’s just disappointing when a player that was often on our screens drops off the radar, so it’s good to see him make the annual trip to the World Championship.
There’s no denying Lloyd has the upper-hand here, winning their last encounter last year 3-1. But Young has had some good results in America this year, and should cause Jaws some problems. I think the prices are about right on the winner market, but the line for the total 180s looks a bit out of whack. Last year they hit 7 between them over 4 sets, and I think we’re going to get at least 4 sets again this year, possible even 5 should Young’s form translate from the American Tour to the Ally Pally. The line is 5.5, which I think is quite comfortable for both men.
Over 5.5 180s in Colin Lloyd Vs Darin Young match 5/6 @
Recommend: 2.5 units
Simon Whitlock (4) Vs Muramatsu/Harrington
As always, I can’t tip anything up, as we won’t know what the match will be until later today. That being said, I can’t see either man troubling Simon Whilock, so we can call it an early night tonight, I think.
Recommend: No bet.
That’s it for the sixth night of the PDC 2013 World Championship. Thank you for subscribing, old subscribers and new, and here’s to a fantastic World Championship. Remember, get your outright winners bets on (I’m not REALLY looking at Winstanley and Kellet) at
Remember, if Phil Taylor wins it, and you back someone else, you get a refund of your bet up to the value of £50. What are you waiting for? I’ve already hit them up, you should, too.