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PDC 2014 World Championship Day Three Premium Picks.
It’s safe to say that Day Two of the 2014 PDC World Championship was perhaps the most memorable day of darts ever – we had two 9-darters, with both men on the losing end of the result. While Kyle Anderson losing to Ian White was no surprise, his 9-darter was a huge one. And Terry Jenkins losing to Per Lauren was a huge surprise, to go along with the surprise of The Bull’s 9-darter. Saturday’s ten matches were a great spectacle, and it was a fantastic way to spend the day. We got off to a great start, with Komula beating Walsh, Laursen beating McGarry, and then McDine taking care of Wayne Jones. Then the wheels came off, unfortunately. We still made the miniscule profit of 0.2 units, even though we went 3-4. We’re now 4-5 with a loss of -1.3 units. But, as ever, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.
Back to the short session tonight, and it’s another uninspiring night of darts. We start with two former BDO boys, with Dave Chisnall taking on John Henderson. It looks, on paper, a fantastic match if both men can hit their best form. Then it’s the Prelim Match, with the lucky Colin Osborn taking the place of Edward Santos who had “travel problems” getting to London. So Osborne takes his place, making him the luckiest man in London this month, and he takes on Dennis Lindskjold, with the winner going on to face Brendan Dolan in the first round proper. Raymond van Barneveld faces Jamie Lewis and Jamie Caven rounds off the night facing Jelle Klaasen.
Dave Chisnall Vs John Henderson.
This has been Dave Chisnall’s breakthrough year in terms of the PDC Majors. The last 12 months have been quiet in terms of floor results compared to the previous few years. But he made the final at the World Grand Prix, and although he lost 6-0 to Phil Taylor, he’s not comfortably in the Top 10, the place where most, including myself, think he belongs. John Hendson hasn’t had the same luck in his short PDC career. Henderson was a strong performer, but then had some injury problems and form issues that led to him struggling and falling down the rankings. But there’s no denying he’s a class act, and him qualifying for the World Championship might just be the catalyst he needs. I think it’s a terrible draw for both men, and it could be close, if both men play to their best. Chisnall is very, very short, and that’s simply because we don’t know how Hendo’s playing – the unknown quantity against the World Grand Prix finalist. It’s going to be high-quality and we’re going to see a lot of 180s and high checkouts here, I think.
>Highest checkout in Chisnall Vs Henderson match over 120.5 Best price 5/6.
Recommend: 3 units.
Dennis Lindskjold Vs Colin Osborne.
Osborne is short here, almost too short given his recent form and the fact he’s playing another unknown quantity. But Osborne could just blitz him if Lindskjold is not as good as his Scandinavian contemporary Per Laursen. So, with so many unknown factors in play, just avoid this match at all costs. If you want to have a dabble, take a punt on the outsider, as anything can happen in a race to four, but I’ll be sitting taking notes.
Recommend: No bet.
Raymond van Barneveld Vs Jamie Lewis.
Like Chisnall/Henderson this isn’t a great draw for either man. While Barney has been playing decent enough darts, he would have preferred a weaker opponent than the up-and-coming Jamie Lewis. Lewis is starting to gain vital experience on the TV stage and he’s going to finally have it all click. Will tonight be that night? I don’t think it’s his time just yet, but Barney will have to be careful – he’s not playing well enough to be a banker, but he should come through 3-1 or maybe even 3-2. What we should get is a high-quality encounter and a high scoring encounter. The total 180s line is 6.5, and I think we can get over this – Barney will be good for four or five, Lewis should be good for 3 or so if we get the 4 or 5 legs I’m expecting.
Over 6.5 180s in Barneveld Vs Lewis match Best price 10/11.
Recommend: 1 unit.
Brendan Dolan Vs Lindskjold/Osborne.
Regardless of who gets through the Prelim Match, Dolan will be short, short, short simply because he’s coming into a hell of a lot of form. He’s should win comfortably, even if he has to face the more experienced Osborne. Just watch Dolan to see how he’s playing for info for the second round.
Recommend: No bet.
Jamie Caven Vs Jelle Klaasen.
This is definitely the pick of the matches, yet again, and it’s good to see the team putting together the schedule aren’t too concerned with putting the big names on last, they’re more interested in getting the quality matches as the main events. Caven and Klaasen should be evenly matched, but I think Klaasen is just a bit too big here. He’s the one that’s showing signs of a resurgence of form, while Caven has been hit or miss, especially on the TV. You also have to remember that one of them is a former World Champion, and it ain’t Caven. Klassen, for me, is huge value here, given Caven’s form at the World Championship. I’d have it 10/11 the pair, so there’s a lot of value on the Dutchman.
Jelle Klaasen to beat Jamie Caven Best price 11/8.
Recommend: 2 units.
That’s all for Day Three of the Premium Picks. I’ll have more for you tomorrow.