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PDC World Matchplay 2013 Day Seven Premium Picks.
1.5 points in total stopping us from landing our highest checkout bets – sickening. That being said, as predicted the Whitlock vs Wade match went a long, long way, so we got a nice chunk back through that. However, although it was a frustrating night on the betting front, there’s no denying that the action was fantastic. Two great games and all four men would have been deserving semi-finalists.
Adrian Lewis (3) Vs Andy Hamilton (6).
For me, this was the tie of the quarter-finals. There’s no clear-cut winner here on paper, and both men are going to be coming into this thinking they can win it. They’ve become regular foes in the Premier League, so they know each other’s games well, and we could get Whitlock Vs Wade II.
Andy Hamilton to beat Adrian Lewis: Best price 6/4
Recommend: 2 units.
Andy Hamilton to score more 180s than Adrian Lewis: Best price 7/4
Recommend: 1.5 units.
Michael van Gerwen (2) Vs Dave Chisnall.
Battle of the heavy scorers next and, once upon a time, it would have been a battle of the inconsistent doublers. But the doubling has improved out of sight for Van Gerwen, and it’s why he’s kicked on overt the last 12 months, and Chisnall isn’t moving on from the top 10 ranking where he seems to have been stuck for an eternity.
Michael van Gerwen has done the business over the first two matches. He didn’t look match sharp against Colin Lloyd, but he shook the cobwebs out in that match and crushed Peter Wright in a match a lot of people would have thought would be closer. In fact, Van Gerwen’s average of 105.58 in the second round was the highest of the tournament by any player – it epitomised his performance and gave Wright no chance. The interesting stat, however, is that Van Gerwen has only hit 6 maximums in his two matches, being outscored by Wright 4-3 in the second round. However, it was the 140s that pushed Van Gerwen away from Wright, and he’s so consistent on every visit to the oche that 100+ is more or less guaranteed. If he plays the way he did in the second round, Chisnall doesn’t stand a chance.
Dave Chisnall showed three sides to his game in his match against Jamie Caven. The first 8 legs or so, he showed his power scoring, averaging well over 100, and never looking in trouble. However, the doubling woes started to come in, and he let Caven back into the match, and his scoring dropped. But then he showed real fight, while Caven crumbled, to fight back and snatch a win from the jaws of defeat. Chisnall’s tournament average of 94.59 doesn’t look great on paper, but he did average 99.22 in the second round, which shows how marked an improvement that performance was on his win over Paul Nicholson. Chisnall does have to lift his game a bit more, but we’ve seen that in patches he’s capable of it. The big plus he has is his 180 scoring. He hit 9 against Caven, taking his tournament total 11. 9 in 23 legs is exceptional, hitting one every 2.5 legs of so. So if we go 25 legs or so tonight, he could be on for 10+. And if he can avoid the mid-match lapse in concentration, he might just trouble the young Dutchman.
This has Van Gerwen win written all over it. However, Van Gerwen has looked vulnerable on occasion when highly fancied and you have to tread carefully, especially when playing someone as dangerous as Chisnall. However, Chisnall might just be a bit too inconsistent at the moment. He came into this tournament playing very average darts, but has found a bit of form now and is growing in confidence. Is it enough? We’ll have to wait and see. I think the bookies have the prices right on most markets, but I think Chisnall looks great value to score the most 180s in the match. He’s outscored Van Gerwen on the maximums over the tournament, and with Van Gerwen’s ability on the 177s, Chisnall seems like the favourite to me.
Dave Chisnall to score more 180s than Michael van Gerwen: Best price Evens
Recommend: 2 units.
And that’s all the Premium Picks for Day Seven of the 2013 World Matchplay. We’ve got 3 matches left, so enjoy the darts while it lasts.