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Hi everyone,
Well it was a nice little start to the year 2022 when it comes to the golf.
We had $125 on Cameron Smith to be the Top Australian and he actually won the tournament. While it can be a tad frustrating getting that one at a 6/4 price, when he was 28/1 to win the tournament at his highest – it’s just something that in hindsight I wouldn’t have bet on. Just too hard to really spot it.
We also had $175 on Justin Thomas to be Top 5. As this was an E/W one we didn’t get the full return. We lost $150 on Spieth Top 10.
So it actually only works out to a profit of $5.42 ha. Still any profit is profit and I’m happy with the picks and my reads there. Hopefully it continues.
Let’s get onto this week:
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Sony Open Betting Tips:
Wind can be a big factor on this course. Previous winner Cameron Smith pops up for me but at 10/1 it’s just not bettable. If you’re doing FanDuel he is probably worth it.
My system really likes Sungjae here but man his course form plus the odds just have to make it a no play, sadly.
$125 on Marc Leishman Top 20 Finish – 11/10 odds.
Coming in strong after a good performance last week. He’s had multiple top 10 finishes here. I actually see a lot of people who think he can win this week. I don’t believe he will. Actually my own metrics have him around 15th-20th. We’ll see.
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$200 on Seamus Power.
He has NOT performed well at this course but I do think he suits it well. So I’m going to do two bets to hopefully cover the more speculative bet. $100 on Power to finish in the Top 20 at 2/1 odds, and $100 on him to win & E/W (5 places).
$100 on Webb Simpson Top 10 – 19/10 odds
He didn’t play last week but he has missed a few Tournament of Champions and still stepped up here. I expect this to be no different.
$50 on Maverick McNealy E/W – 50/1
Hasn’t played in awhile and never here but I just feel his game is really suited for this course.
$50 on Christiaan Bezuidenhout E/W – 66/1
I was looking at speculative picks my system pulled up. Kokrak was another at 55/1. Both were tempting but I think Bezuidenhout’s game applies well here.
