[Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free]
UFC Fight Night 164 takes place on November 15th, 2019.
it features Jan Blachowicz vs Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza as the main event with Shogun vs Paul Craig as the co-main.
Should be a pretty solid card. The undefeated 12-0 Luiz Eduardo Garagorri is on the undercard as well.
After this we go on a couple of week break from UFC before returning on December 7th from the Capital One Arena. Currently scheduled there is Alistair Overeem vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Let’s look at the Fight Night 164 Betting tips:
UFC Fight Night 164 Bets:
Antonio Arroyo to win. Honestly this is one of those fights I expect you’re going to NEED a bet on to get into it. These are two top BJJ guys and I think we see a lot of just laying on the ground etc. I think people are sleeping on Antonio Arroyo a bit. It’s probably going to a decision and I lean Antonio.
Paul Craig to win. First of all I think Shogun is awesome. I think he’s did a great job at reinventing himself after those losses to OSP & Hendo. He’s coming in with 4 wins in his last 5 and that’s impressive.
He’s did a great job at being patient in fights.
However I feel Paul Craig has been improving too. The Scotsman has been looking better and I know he is coming in on a fast turnaround after that fight at UFC Fight Night, however I think that will help him. He likes to fight and he has been looking solid out there.
He’s getting more confidence and is dangerous. I think he’s in this spot for a reason.
Sergio Moraes to win. Nice little underdog pick I like here. Moraes is on a bit of a losing streak but we all know he can bang. He’s a funny fighter too as he is an excellent wrestler yet we don’t see that often. He’s one of those guys that could do much better if he had a better fight plan. However I do like him to do that here against James Krause. Krause is solid and is getting a lot of respect especially after that Warlley Alves win, but I think Moraes can take this.
Ramos by submission. +305 odds for this and I love it. Bookies think he wins inside the distance however just look at Garagorri against anyone who liks to go to the ground. Ramos is going to take him down at will and unless Garagorri has improved his ground game drastically, Ramos will gake him. Garagorri has the cardio so Ramos will work for the submission nice and early. You could do a big bet on Ramos by submission in the first round if you want.
Renan Barao to win. Just too big of a dog for me. We all know what he is capable of and he should be able to out wrestle De Andrade. Yeah he’s on a really bad run at the moment but he still has the ability and skill and I think De Andrade will overlook him here and will be way too confident.