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Nothing to really write home about last week. Couple of potential wins that fizzled out on the last day.
Ryan Palmer was looking pretty good at Torrey Pines. Unfortunately he had a brutal 75 on the third round that knocked him out of contention.
Close but no cigar in the Dubai Desert Classic. We had Sergio Garcia to win. He came 3rd but there was no excitement in it as DeChambeau entered beast mode and walked away with it in the final round.
Our 40/1 pick of Lee Westwood was a stroke out of cashing as he hit -15 and -16 would have got him tied for third.
This week we’ve got the Waste Management Phoenix Open and the Saudi International. I don’t know jack about the course the Saudi International is taking place on. I’ve went with two big long shot bets to win & E/W on Justin Harding at 140/1 and Pablo Larrazabal at 75/1. 1/8u bets.
But no data backing them so it’s your call.
Let’s get to it:
Phoenix Open 2019 Betting Tips:
Daniel Berger 50/1: Been flip-flopping back and forth on Berger all day and decided to go with it. He missed the cut last week but he’s one of those golfers where current form is never a factor. He’s never finished in the top 5 here but has 3 finishes 11th or higher. I really enjoyed his performance at TPC Scottsdale and think he is just worth a pick. 1/8 to win & E/W
Talor Gooch 90/1: Gooch is coming in off two absolutely tremendous performances. He’s never played here however when you look at the metrics he’s right there in most of them. His GIR and scrambling will come in handy on this course. 1/8u to win & E/W.
Lucas Glover 80/1: Opened up at about 110/1 and has been bet down to 80/1 which is disappointing as I made a note about him earlier in the morning. He’s never cracked the top 10 here but when you look at the metrics he stands out for what matters here and is performing well. The odds drop has me disappointed and with course form being weak, we’ll go with just 1/8 to win & E/W.
Hideki Matsuyama 12/1: With his performances here and the solid performance he put in last week I think it’d be silly not to have some money on him this week. Price feels good I’d be questioning 10/1 and below. 1/4u to win.
Ryan Palmer: 80/1 I think the pressure got to him last week however he should feel comfortable on this course where he has performed well in the past. Honestly after last week I was ready to pass on him but the price is sweet enough that I’m even good backing him at 1/4u to win & E/W.
Wanted to back Mickelson but he has dropped from 28/1 to 22/1 and that’s too low in my opinion.