2019 National League Cy Young Betting Odds

Vin
By
Posted: March 12, 2019


The 2019 NL Cy Young Odds are now out. In 2018, Jacob deGrom absolutely dominated the season with a 1.70 ERA/1.99 FIP. He only finished with ten wins which is encouraging as that stat has very little to do with the pitcher himself. The media recognizing the best pitcher outside of that stat is great. I looked back at the 2018 NL Cy Young odds and I didn’t even mention him in my write-up. Whoops.

One guy that I did like last season was Max Scherzer and the books like him quite a bit too as he is once again the favorite here this season. In fact, his odds are so low that I can’t really justify a bet on him. There are just too many variables with pitchers to take one at 3-to-1.

You could say the same about Jacob deGrom as well. It’s hard to repeat this award in this league and there are some serious contenders in the National League this year. His teammate Noah Syndergaard at +1400 is a nice value. He is always at the top of the strikeouts list and the issue with him is just staying healthy. If he can, this is a great bet.

My favorite sleeper might be German Marquez at +5000. This is a huge risk as he’s a Coors Field guy, but I think there is enough stats out there to make people understand the effect of this park. Plus, it didn’t seem to matter last season. His last three months of the season saw him pitch 113 innings and post this line: 2.47 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 33% strikeout rate with a 5% walk rate. This line wasn’t just smoke and mirrors as he started relying more and more on his slider and that pitch was basically unhittable. A risk with Coors and his first half numbers, but one that would pay off big if it hits.

2019 MLB Futures

His teammate Kyle Freeland actually has better odds that him which doesn’t make sense to me. Last year he had a 2.85 ERA/3.67 FIP/4.22 xFIP with just 7.7 K/9. It’s good, but that line had a lot of good luck built in and he’s not as dominant as you usually see from a Cy Young award winner.

This feels like a year for a fresh face to win this award. Walker Buehler could be that guy at +2500. He had a 2.62 ERA/3.04 FIP last year with 9.9 K/9. Jack Flaherty could be that guy if he can take that 10.85 K/9 and get the walks down. Jimmy Nelson could be that guy and you can’t even get odds on him right now.

Full odds are below:

Name 5Dimes Bovada Sports Interaction 888 Sport
Max Scherzer +300 +250 +300 3.6
Jacob deGrom +400 +400 +350 4.5
Aaron Nola +900 +700 +900 8.5
Clayton Kershaw +1200 +1200 +900 17.0
Noah Syndergaard +1500 +1400 +1200 17.0
Walker Buehler +2500 +1400 +1800 19.0
Jack Flaherty +3300 +2000 +3300 41.0
Kyle Freeland +2500 +2000 +2000 101.0
Madison Bumgarner +2500 +2500 +2000 67.0
Patrick Corbin +2500 +2500 +1800 21.0
Miles Mikolas +4000 +3000 +4000 41.0
Stephen Strasburg +3000 +3000 +2500 34.0
Zack Greinke +3000 +3000 +2500 34.0
Chris Archer +5000 +4000 +3300 34.0
Jameson Taillon +6600 +4000 +6600 41.0
Jon Lester +5000 +4500 +3300 81.0
Kyle Hendricks +6000 +4500 +4000 41.0
German Marquez +5000 +5000 +3300 34.0
Mike Foltynewicz +6000 +5000 +5000 67.0
Robbie Ray +6000 +5000 +4000 41.0
Zack Wheeler +5000 +5000 +5000 41.0
Cole Hamels +7000 +6000 +6600
Rich Hill +8000 +6000 +2500 67.0
Jose Quintana +6600 +6600 +6600 51.0
Alex Reyes +3300 126.0
Alex Wood +12500 +8000 81.0
Andrew Suarez +25000
Anthony DeSclafani +12500 151.0
Carlos Martinez +25000 101.0
Chris Paddack 126.0
Corey Knebel 251.0
Edwin Diaz +35000 251.0
Felipe Vazquez 251.0
Hyun-Jin Ryu +12500 151.0
Jake Arrieta +9000 +6600 101.0
Jimmy Nelson 151.0
Jhoulys Chacin +12500 +8000 151.0
Joe Musgrove +11000 126.0
Joey Lucchesi +10000 126.0
Jon Gray +12500 101.0
Jose Urena +25000
Josh Hader +25000 251.0
Julio Teheran +12500 251.0
Kenley Jansen +30000 251.0
Kenta Maeda +25000 101.0
Kevin Gausman +35000 251.0
Luis Castillo +10000 101.0
Mike Soroka 101.0
Michael Wacha +12500 151.0
Nick Pivetta +10000 101.0
Robbie Erlin +25000 251.0
Ross Stripling 67.0
Sean Doolittle 251.0
Sean Newcomb +10000 +8000 101.0
Sonny Gray +12500 +8000 101.0
Steven Matz +10000 151.0
Tanner Roark +25000 251.0
Tyler Anderson +12500 151.0
Vince Velasquez +22000 251.0
Yu Darvish +10000 67.0
Zach Davies +12500 +8000 151.0
Zach Eflin +25000 +8000 251.0
Zack Godley +12500 101.0


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