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We took the over on the game last night and it was looking pretty good at the start. Five runs in the first inning is a pretty good start when the total is only 7.5 runs. Instead, that was all the run scoring that we’d see and the Yankees were able to force game six with a 4-1 win. James Paxton was great here and the Yankees bullpen did the rest as always.
Tonight is a pretty interesting game as we have both of these teams going without true starters. Chad Green goes for the Yankees and Jose Urquidy is going for the Astros. Uruidy is a starter, but he only made seven starts during the regular season with just three of those going over six innings. He did have a few great starts this year, but you have to think he is going to be used more like an opener in this one. The first sign of trouble and he’s out.
To account for that, I am just going strictly off bullpen stats for this game. The difference between these two and the guys coming in behind them is minor, and I think we’re going to see some fireworks here.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Tips:
The Bet MLB System sees this game as a coinflip. While the Astros are favored at -140 for this game, my system sees it being far closer than that. The Astros are favored by about -101 in my system. That’s nothing and this one could really go either way.
The system sees this game as being a real offensive battle. While both of these teams will be bullpening and playing the match-ups, they are also two of the best offenses in all of baseball. The total is a bit higher tonight, but I think they will hit it. They both have big power and are dying to show it off. We saw a glimpse of it last night with Justin Verlander and James Paxton on the mound. We should see a lot more of it early with Chad Green and Jose Urquidy.
Bet Astros/Yankees Over 9 Runs