April 5th, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

A 1-1 record last night.

The Yankees took awhile to do it, but they got the job done for us against the Orioles. James Paxton was tagged for three runs in the first, but the Yankees never really gave up and kept adding runs throughout the game. Gary Sanchez homered early while Luke Voit sealed the winner with a homerun late. That was a bit too close for comfort for me, but still nice to grab the win.

Our loss was the over on the Reds and Pirates. Where were these offenses? Where are these offenses? The Reds have now gone under on their first six games of the season. On the one hand, that definitely won’t last forever. On the other, I’m not sure I’m going to be betting it to happen until it does.

Writing these early because I have to pick a friend up from the airport in the morning. Be careful to look at the pitching match-ups just in case some change between now and the time of the game.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Tips:

I think the Rays are being underrated early here. The offense hasn’t quite been there to start, but thus far this season they are allowing an average of 1.6 runs per game. That is nothing and just shows how much pitching talent this team has, especially when you consider they faced the Astros in a series already.

Tyler Glasnow is a pitcher that a lot of people are expecting big things out of this season. This is his chance to prove it. I expect the Giants to be one of the worst offenses in the league and he should be able to carve them up, especially in the pitcher friendly park.

He goes against Dereck Rodriguez who is fine. He was far luckier than good this season and I can see him giving up a few here. He had a 2.81 ERA/3.74 FIP/4.56 xFIP which really shows how lucky he was. I just don’t see him shutting down the Rays and I love Tampa to win this one.

Bet Rays -115

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Tips:

This was probably circled on the schedule by many people as a big time early match-up. These teams went to game 163 last season where the Brewers defeated the Cubs to claim the National League Central and the top seed in the playoffs. This was probably looked at as a top rivalry again this year, but thus far the Cubs aren’t holding up their end of the bargain.

The Cubs right now are allowing over seven runs per game. Their pitching hasn’t done much to stop anyone and the Brewers offense has been playing well. The Cubs send Jose Quintana to the mound who had a 4.03 ERA/4.43 FIP last season. That’s not that bad, but the career high in walks is a bad sign. You can forgive me if I don’t trust him very much here.

Milwaukee sends Brandon Woodruff to the mound. He’s making the transition from the bullpen and looked good in his first start of the year, allowing two runs on six hits and a walk over five innings while striking out five in his first start against the Cardinals. The Cubs offense has been dangerous early, but they haven’t really faced the pitching talent that the Brewers have yet either. I like Milwaukee to get it done at home here as this should be a loud one for the home team.

Bet Brewers -120