August 17th, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

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1-0 last night.

A lot of ugly lines today in that awkward -150 to -175 range. These don’t have a ton of value unless they are an absolute sure thing. The system is a fan of the Twins today, but over -160 on the road is a big price to pay and I’m not sure it’s worth that.

The system likes two other games a lot more though. One is over that -150 mark, but it’s such a slam dunk I’d think you could reasonably lay the -1.5 to get a better price if you wanted to. Let’s get into it.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips:

The system is a big fan of Dinelson Lamet here. He has huge strikeout numbers on the season with a 3.86 ERA/3.82 FIP. The starts are limited, but he’s been a better pitcher on the road this season and I like his match-up here. The Phillies have been ravaged by injuries this season with Rhys Hoskins the latest to go down.

He faces Zach Eflin who is a pitcher I feel okay going against. He has a 4.49 ERA/4.84 FIP on the season with a 1.60 HR/9. The Padres offense has been playing well of late and they do have power.

Bet Padres -111

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Tips:

This is the game that I mentioned above and the system just really loves it. And why not? Mike Foltynewicz has been terrible this season with a 6.24 ERA/5.82 FIP and he’s facing one of the best offenses against right handed pitchers in all of baseball. I’m surprised this line isn’t -200.

The Dodgers send Hyun-Jin Ryu to the mound and while he has been worse on the road this season, he is far better than Folty. His road numbers have him at a 2.22 ERA/3.54 FIP.

This tip is all about the Dodgers vs. Foltynewicz though and that is enough for me.

Bet Dodgers -154