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MLB tips for August 2nd, 2022.
2-0-1 last night.
We ended up with a pitching change in the Royals/White Sox game last night which canceled the bet. Good thing too as the offenses did not show up for that one despite the great hitting conditions.
Six tips for tonight on Patreon, four are below.
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips:
ARI – Zac Gallen 3.24 ERA/3.69 FIP
CLE – Triston McKenzie 3.24 ERA/4.11 FIP
McKenzie has been on another level over his past five starts with a 1.34 ERA/2.43 FIP over that span. Good strikeouts, low walks, and low homeruns is what we love to see. The Diamondbacks aren’t much of a threat with just a 90 wRC+ against righties.
Gallen is a solid pitcher, but he’s been worse on the road this season and the Guardians hit righties well with a 107 wRC+ against them.
Both bullpens have been good of late with the Guardians being slightly better overall.
Guardians Moneyline (-132)
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Betting Tips:
DET – Matt Manning 4.60 ERA/4.52 FIP
MIN – Chris Archer 4.04 ERA/4.98 FIP
Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers Betting Tips:
BAL – Jordan Lyles 4.56 ERA/4.40 FIP
TEX – Spencer Howard 5.93 ERA/6.87 FIP
The Orioles made the trade of Mancini, but the rest of the top of their lineup remains in place and is good. I love the match-up for them as Howard is just not a good pitcher. Low strikeouts, high walks, and high homeruns. That’s all we want.
Lyles will probably give up a run or two, but I’m not worried about an implosion. He should do enough.
I’m also going with the over for the game as well. As I said I think both pitchers will give up runs and the Rangers bullpen stinks. The Orioles traded their closer today which makes their bullpen weaker as well. This park has been good for runs this season.
Orioles First 5 Innings Moneyline (+100)
Orioles/Rangers Over 8.5 (-122)
Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:
OAK – Cole Irvin 3.05 ERA/3.82 FIP
LAA – Noah Syndergaard 3.83 ERA/3.95 FIP
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Betting Tips:
LAD – Tyler Anderson 2.61 ERA/3.21 FIP
SFG – Alex Wood 4.11 ERA/3.46 FIP
Anderson has pitched great of late with a 1.04 ERA/2.81 FIP over his past four starts. Wood has also been very good, but not as good with a 1.65 ERA/3.15 FIP.
These two starters are very similar, but the other parts of the team are not. The Dodgers bullpen is much better. The Dodgers offense is much better. The Dodgers, much like yesterday, are undervalued.
Dodgers Moneyline (-136)