BDO 2012 World Championship Day Six Tips

Scott
By
Posted: January 12, 2012


So close to a perfect night last night. 1 maximum from Scott Waites just ruined the night. And now he’s out. That’ll teach him! The good news is that Ted Hankey is still in, which means we still have a real entertainer in the mix.

The shock of the night was Dean Winstanley going out to Alan Norris in a fantastic match. So we’re left with 6 Englishmen, 5 seeded players, 2 Dutchmen and one England Captain in the quarter-finals of the BDO 2012 World Championship.

I won’t be tipping the two women’s semi-finals, as I think it’s still a bit of a crap shoot. But we’re guaranteed one of the game’s big names making the final, as Anastasia takes on Trina Gulliver. If Deta Hedman can win her semi-final, we’ll have the best line-up for a women’s final perhaps ever.

Paul Jennings versus Wesley Harms.

The 12th seed takes on the 13th seed here, in a match that many might not have predicted, as Wesley Harms did a real number on Robbie Green in the second round.

Harms averaged a great 90.72 average to beat Green, which, if he replicates it, would be more than enough to dispatch Paul Jennings. Jennings averaged around 84 in the first round, then just under 83 in the second round. Harms should be good enough to put Jennings away, although the bookies see this a bit closer than I do. I think Harms is a good thing here, and should be this year’s Jan Dekker.

The other thing that’s noticeable about both men is that their finishing hasn’t been spectacular. Jennings’ highest checkout was 111 in the first round, while Harms’ is 83, which came in the second round. The bookies have the line at 130.5, which I think is ridiculous given that both men haven’t troubled the highest checkout marks so far.

Wesley Harms to beat Paul Jennings: 4/5 @ 888.com.

Recommend: 3 units.

Highest checkout in Wesley Harms versus Paul Jennings match under 130.5: 5/6 @ 888.com.

Recommend: 2 units.

Martin Adams versus Tony O’Shea.

Two old foes going head-to-head here. England Captain Martin Adams holds a significant advantage on the head-to-head with The Silverback, most recently beating him 5-2 in Zuideruin. The last time they met at the Lakeside, Adams was a 3-0 winner. So all signs point to England Captain Martin Adams coming out victorious.

However, both men are very close on the stats this year. Adams has a highest checkout of 136, O’Shea has 142. Adams has a tournament average of 90.45, O’Shea’s is 89.64. The big difference is that Adams is yet to drop a leg, winning 3-0 and 4-0, while O’Shea has dropped a huge 1 set! So, it looks like it going to be a close one here, but the bookies don’t think so. I think we’re going to see a close match, and we’re going to see a few big checkouts, as both men call on all their reserves to win this match. O’Shea is just a bit too big a price, and the line of 131.5 looks low enough for both men to beat.

Tony O’Shea to beat Martin Adams: 2/1 @ Betfair.

Recommend: 1 unit.

Highest checkout in Martin Adams versus Tony O’Shea match over 131.5: 5/6 @ Paddy Power.

Recommend: 3 units.

And that’s it for the first set of quarter-finals of the BDO 2012 World Championship. We’ll be back tomorrow with the other two quarter-finals, and we’ll be one step closer to crowning the 2012 Lakeside World Champion.

Until then, remember our good friends that are offering £50 of free bets to their new customers. Don’t forget to head over to 888.com.