EPL Bets for July 11, 2020

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Yesterday I covered the Serie A games taking place on Saturday, and today I will run down the EPL games that are taking place on July 11th.

If you want to check out the Serie A Bets for Saturday, click here.

We’ve been on a nice little run. I went 4-0 with the Serie A Tips on Wednesday and then 2-1 with the EPL Tips on Thursday. Hopefully we can keep that going into the weekend.

Decent EPL card with five games on the board.

Let’s run through each game and see what we’ve got:

EPL Bets for July 11th, 2020

Norwich vs West Ham: Norwich have lost all 5 games during post pandemic football with just 1 goal scored and the worst xG in the league. Their xGA is actually quite good too. West Ham have had medium results, a high xG but also a fairly high xGA. West Ham are 1.95 favourites in this one.

West Ham are battling against relegation and are 3 points above the relegation zone. Norwich are in the Championship next season. No chance for them. I’m not a big fan of David Moyes honestly but I have to think they win here. Sebastien Haller returned against Burnley and should start although I don’t mind Antonio playing. 2u on West Ham to win at 1.95 odds. This would be a horrific loss for West Ham and coming off that win over Chelsea a little bit ago there is no excuse for the Hammers here.

Watford vs Newcastle: Watford got their first post pandemic win but it was over Norwich. Despite that they are heavy favourites here against Newcastle. Newcastle have been performing great although had that tough 2-2 draw against the Hammers then got thumped by City. Question is if they can pull themselves up after that.

Watford have it all to play for in the relegation battle especially knowing that West Ham have an “easy” game against Norwich. However I felt Watford were quite poor in that Norwich win. Newcastle fans unleashed on Newcastle after that loss to City. Poor Steve Bruce as he has did a decent enough job. They rested some key players against Man City and I believe they’ll see this as a winnable game.

This is one where I feel like I am completely incorrect in my thinking – I see a lot of people tipping Watford and they’re heavy favourites but man I have liked what Newcastle have been doing. Watford have did nothing to impress me. So hey just a heads up that I am going completely against the grain here however I’m going with Newcastle or Draw for 2u at 1.90 odds.

Liverpool vs Burnley: Burnley have actually performed just as well as Liverpool post pandemic with a 3-1-1 record for both teams. What makes that even more ridiculous is Burnley have scored less than a goal a game in that span. Both teams only losses were against Man City.

Burnley are chasing a European spot while Liverpool are Liverpool and are at home where they have a perfect record.

Part of me thinks Burnley can upset the apple cart here and get a draw. However it would be irresponsible of me to advise against Liverpool at home. Just a gut feeling I have. As it is Liverpool to win to nil is probably the better bet at 1.95 odds. I’ll personally be chucking something on Burnley or Draw that I completely expect to lose. So no official bet from me.

Sheff Utd vs Chelsea: Chelsea have been the 3rd best team post pandemic and Sheff Utd joint 9th best team. Sheff Utd struggled a bit to begin with but have got going again with wins over Spurs, Wolves and a draw against Burnley as they push for a Euro spot. Chelsea had that one blemish against West Ham.

Chelsea always struggle to keep a clean sheet while Sheff Utd have their goalscoring boots on at the moment. Chelsea are beatable and Sheff Utd should be able to get in the back of the net. 3u on Both Teams to Score at 1.95 odds.

Brighton vs Man City: No play. City should walk it but man they are erratic these days.