January 19th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

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A 1-0 record last night.

Last night, Blake Griffin showed what a superstar does. He was red hot to start the game and got his team to an early lead, then finished strong to ensure they got the win. He finished with 32 points, 11 rebounds, and 9 assists. The Pistons won 98-93, easily covering the -1.

Interesting schedule today with two teams on schedule alert games and very different spreads for them. Usually I try to target the schedule alert games, but these are just weird.

Cleveland is playing their third road game in four nights and on a road back-to-back, at Denver which is the hardest place to play on the road. Denver is an enormous -17.5 for this one. The books know the disadvantage here and the talent difference between these two teams and are making you pay for it. Sorry, but that is just too rich for my blood.

The other big schedule alert game is the Boston Celtics who are also playing their third in four nights and are on the road at Atlanta. I would almost take Atlanta +9 here based on that, but with both John Collins and Trae Young listed as questionable it’s hard to justify.

Luckily, there are plenty more games on the schedule. Let’s take a look at what we do like today.


Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors: I couldn’t bite the bullet last night on a game where I thought Memphis was getting too much and they ended up covering it. I can’t do it here either. +12 is a lot for this team, but on a back-to-back at Boston and Toronto is about as tough as it gets. Just staying away.

Sacramento Kings vs. Detroit Pistons: The Pistons are getting +2.5 at home here which is very tempting. My only thing here is last time they played the Kings, Sacramento wiped the floor with them. That said, Griffin was out for that one. Well, Andre Drummond is out for this one.. Not sure how much that helps/hurts them considering Willie-Cauley Stein dominated him last time out. Leaning Pistons, but just not strong enough.


Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Tips:

I honestly think these are two pretty similar teams with the main difference being that one plays in a really hard conference. A lot of their raw stats are similar as the Pacers shoot threes a little better and the Mavs defend them a little better. This feels like a pretty even match-up to me.

A lot has been said (by me) about the Mavs home/road splits. They’ve turned that back around a bit of late, but where they have really shined is keeping these games close. They have a 10-8 against the spread record as a road underdog and that number is 18-9 as an underdog straight up. This team will surprise you and Luka Doncic is as dangerous as they come.

Indiana has been tough and are 15-6 straight up at home this year. Covering the spread has been a different story. I think this line is about 2-3 points too high and the Mavs should keep it close.

https://www.Bovada.lvBet Mavericks +6.5

Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Tips:

I’ve looked at this line a million ways and I just can’t figure it out. Why is it so low? Miami should dominate this team. Hassan Whiteside vs. Wendell Carter Jr. alone should get it done. I don’t get it. MIAMI ALL DAY.

https://www.Bovada.lvBet Miami -3