July 16th, 2019 Betting Tips: MLB

Vin
By
Posted: July 16, 2019


(Photo credit: AP Photo/John Bazemore)

This weekend brings The Open Championship in golf. This is always one of the highlights of the golf season and this year it returns to Ireland.

That should be very interesting to see how Rory McIlroy performs in his home country. Plus, you have Tiger Woods going for his second major and Brooks Koepka who has been on a tear in the majors over the past couple of years. Graeme will be here with tips tomorrow.

Of course, with that tournament it is a completely different time zone than most majors so fans in the UK can give fans in North America a taste of their own medicine as far as waking up early for golf.

Yesterday was a tough day for the Bet MLB System, but it was only a blip on the overall season. Even with that tough night last night, the system is now 15-8 in the month of July and 101-61 overall. We are sticking with it today as it has some games that it likes in tonight’s games.

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MLB Betting Tips:

New York Mets at Minnesota Twins: This line is set at -160 and you are well within reason to bet that line. It’s a bit pricey, but this is the system’s favorite game of the day and I will be going for the runline here.

Steven Matz is a lefty with a 7.07 ERA/7.52 FIP on the road this season. He’s facing the Twins offense here that has been awesome against lefties. They have an .868 OPS on the season and 126 wRC+ which is the second best in all of baseball. This could be a long day for young Steven. Throw in the Mets extremely shaky bullpen and I am seeing a big day for the Twins here.

The Mets on the other hand have just a 98 wRC+ against righties this season. Michael Pineda has had a few bad starts this season, but his 4.56 ERA/4.29 FIP should be enough here.

Bet Twins -1.5 (+115)

San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins: Two strong pitchers in a pitcher friendly park with two below average offenses, I think you can see where I’m going here.

Jordan Yamamoto has only made five starts this season, but they have all been pretty good. He has good strikeout numbers and he’s yet to allow a homerun this season. He has a 1.24 ERA/2.80 FIP so he’s due for some regression, but even then it won’t be that painful. The Padres on the season have just a .731 OPS against right handed pitchers.

He goes against Logan Allen for the Padres who has an even better match-up. Allen has a 4.50 ERA/3.82 FIP in three starts this season, but he gets the pleasure of facing this Marlins offense. Against lefties on the season they are hitting for a .655 OPS/74 wRC+ which is dead last in all of baseball.

I feel like this line is a little hesitant on the over/under because of the relative inexperience of these hitters, but with these offenses I’m not sure it matters. Go under.

Bet Marlins/Padres Under 8

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