July 19th, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

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1-0 on Wednesday, 1-0 yesterday at SportsBettingTips.org. A nice turnaround from early in the week. 17-10 this month. 103-63 on the season.

This is a weird schedule tonight with four games of lines of -240 or higher. Some really lopsided match-ups heading into the weekend. Despite that, we have a couple of nice tips today.

Let’s get into them.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips:

  Team Name FIP-
AWAY Phillies Jake Arrieta 112
HOME Pirates Jordan Lyles 102

Jake Arrieta is really struggling this year with an FIP over 5. He has a road line of 4.81 ERA/5.18 FIP with homeruns being an issue. He is just not the pitcher he was a couple of years ago and this Pirates offense has been good against right handed pitchers with a 103 wRC+.

The Pirates will send Jordan Lyles to the mound here and he’s probably due for some regression. He has a 5.16 ERA/4.44 FIP on the season. That isn’t the prettiest, but he is at home here and the Phils are a below average team against righties with a 92 wRC+.

Bet Pirates -110

Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Tips:

  Team Name FIP-
AWAY Athletics Chris Bassitt 98
HOME Twins Jake Odorizzi 81

How do you not just bet the Twins every night? This team has been so good this season and tonight is another great match-up for them.

Jake Odorizzi has been great for the Twins this season and his home numbers are great. He has a 2.27 ERA/3.51 FIP in his home starts and he has some huge strikeout numbers there. While the Athletics offense is good and can get him to regress a little bit, the Twins offense is far more dangerous.

The Athletics send Chris Bassitt and he has a 4.43 ERA/4.88 FIP on the road this season. He has some nice strikeout numbers, but is carrying just a .250 BABIP. That won’t last and this Twins offense is exactly the kind that can make him regress. They have a 111 wRC+ on the season and have been even hotter than that over the past two weeks. The Twins look like a great play again here today.

Bet Twins -126