July 19th, 2023 MLB Betting Tips

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3-0 last night!

W Dodgers/Orioles Over 9.5 Runs
W Giants Moneyline
W Rangers Moneyline

A great night brings our record to 12-6 since the All Star break.

Four bets today. Two below, the rest are on Patreon.

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Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies Betting Tips:

HOU – Brandon Bielak
COL – Austin Gomber

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:

NYY – Carlos Rodon
LAA – Chase Silseth

I still believe in Rodon, but he hasn’t looked great in his first two starts with a 5.23 ERA/5.43 FIP. Today will be a very tough match-up as the Angels have crushed lefties and are hot right now. They have a 113 wRC+ against lefties this season and a 116 wRC+ over the past two weeks. The Yankees bullpen has really struggled of late with a 154 FIP- over the past two weeks.

The Yankees offense should do their part here as well as Silseth is hittable. He’s made nine appearance, just 18.2 innings, and posted a 5.30 ERA/5.87 FIP. He’s got the stuff, but he’s still quite young and has struggled in the majors. He won’t go deep and the Angels bullpen has also struggled badly over the last two weeks with a 196 FIP-.

Yankees/Angels Over 8.5 Runs (-117)
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Chicago White Sox at New York Mets Betting Tips:

CHW – Touki Toussaint
NYM – Justin Verlander

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Betting Tips:

ARI – Ryne Nelson
ATL – Charlie Morton

I debated just writing the tip here because it’s the Braves, but I guess I’ll write a few things.

Atlanta’s offense has a 117 wRC+ against righties, a 123 wRC+ at home, and a 131 wRC+ over the past month. What is not to like? Nelson is average at best and he’s not been at his best this season. The Diamondbacks bullpen has also really struggled of late.

Morton is very solid with a 3.20 ERA/3.72 FIP. He’s been even better of late with a 1.50 ERA/2.88 FIP over his last four starts. The Diamondbacks offense is solid against righties, but down of late with a 85 wRC+ over the past two weeks and a 93 wRC+ over the past month. The Braves bullpen has been consistently strong, last night notwithstanding.

Braves -1.5 (-118)