July 29th, 2019 Betting Tips: MLB

The MLB trade deadline is heating up and we’ve seen quite a few moves over the weekend. The big move was the Blue Jays trading their long-time starter Marcus Stroman to New York. While many expected that to happen, very few expected that the New York team would be the Mets. You see, the Mets are 50-55 and currently six games out of the Wild Card. They were not a team that many expected to be adding pieces, especially one of the top starters on the market.

Perhaps even stranger is the constant rumors that Noah Syndergaard will be moved by the Mets. Is Stroman just a preemptive replacement? Or is he a smaller part of a much bigger move that is going to be taking place before the deadline? The starter market is where we often see the biggest moves at the deadline and with so few potential trade candidates, I really wonder who will be moved. Syndergaard, Robbie Ray, Stroman again, and Trevor Bauer are the top names on the board right now.

The Jays made a more minor trade as well moving Eric Sogard to the Rays. Sogard has been outstanding this season with a .300/.363/.477 batting line on the year. The move makes room for Jays’ prospect Bo Bichette to get every day playing time. I can see the Jays moving Ken Giles in the next couple of days as well as every team needs bullpen help.

Expect to see a lot more moves between now and the deadline.

There is a rather short schedule in MLB today, but the Bet MLB System likes one game. Let’s get into it.

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MLB Betting Tips:

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: The Dodgers have been the best team in the National League this season by a pretty wide margin. They not only have the best record, but they also have the best run differential with +164 on the year which is very impressive when you consider that is +93 more than the next closest competitor. They’re great.

They face the Rockies here who are really struggling of late. They are 3-7 over their past ten games and they are pretty much out of the playoff race. Despite all that, the Dodgers are just a small favorite here when I think they should be a much larger one.

This game takes place at Coors Field so anything can happen, but I’d make the starters as about a wash. Jon Gray has the better ERA/FIP, but Maeda is really due for some regression in the ERA category. I’d still probably give the nod to Gray there, but the stat I’m looking at for this is offense.

The Dodgers have a .831 OPS/117 wRC+ against right handed pitchers on the season. That is third best in all of baseball. The Rockies have a .773 OPS with an 83 wRC+ which is not good. Especially for a team that plays their home games in the best hitting park in baseball.

If this game is going to be a slugfest, I like the Dodgers. If this game is going to come down to the bullpens, I’d give it to the Dodgers too. The Rockies have a 5.08 ERA/4.77 FIP bullpen on the season.

Bet Dodgers -124

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