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A 2-0 night last night to finish the month of May strong. That gives us a 34-19 record in May and a 71-45 overall record. For the season we are +12.48 units.
We took the Astros over the Athletics on the assumption that the Astros would pitch well and they would also hit Mike Fiers. It took awhile on the second thing, but the pitching only allowed two runs and the Astros were able to tie it up on Fiers in the 7th. A Derek Fisher homerun in the 8th gave Houston a 3-2 win. You win a lot of games when you allow just two runs, no matter how many stars are on the injured list.
We also had the Reds over the Nationals. The funny thing is this is the one I was nervous about posting and the Reds won 9-3. They tagged Patrick Corbin for five in the first inning and that was all they needed.
One early and one night game pick for today.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Betting Tips:
I try my best to treat each game as it’s own separate entity, but it’s hard not to think that if the Reds were able to hit Corbin that hard what they will do to Erick Fedde. He’s done most of his work out of the pen this year and has a 2.18 ERA/4.07 FIP/5.10 xFIP. He’s been riding a low BABIP and he’s not a big strikeout guy. The Reds offense has been getting better of late and I think they continue that here.
Tanner Roark goes for the Reds and I could see him trying to get some measure of revenge against the team that traded him. He’s posted a nice 3.20 ERA/3.00 FIP with nice strikeout numbers. Throw in the awesome Reds bullpen behind him and I can see the Reds taking this series today.
Bet Reds -135
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Tips:
Andrew Heaney is a pitcher that I like, but he’s been unable to stay healthy. He had a 4.15 ERA/3.99 FIP/3.68 xFIP last season and made his season debut last week with a solid start. He draws the Mariners today who have cooled down considerably since their hot start. They are still a good offense, but I don’t fear them like I once did with starting pitchers.
The Mariners send Tommy Milone to the mound who has been good in his first two starts, but I don’t trust that at all. His projections show him being way below where he’s at right now and his career numbers paint a similar pitcher. The Angels offense can be dangerous and they should get to Milone here. Throw in that awful bullpen that is backing him up and I foresee an Angels win.
Bet Angels -124