March 13th, 2023 NBA Betting Tips

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3-1 on Sunday wraps up a huge 17-8 week.

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How it went down:

W Jayson Tatum Over 44.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists – 34 points, 15 rebounds, and 6 assists. Yeah, that’ll do.
W Brook Lopez Over 17.5 Points – Brook Lopez came through for us again with 19 points. Overtime helped.
W Jrue Holiday Over 33.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists – Overtime helped, but an 18/9/8 line was another easy cash.
L Devin Booker Over 31.5 Points – Not gonna lie I counted this one as a win before it was done as Booker had 21 after three quarters, but he ended up falling short at 28 points.

A great week last week. Let’s keep it going.

Utah Jazz at Miami Heat Betting Tips:

We took down a couple of wins betting over on Jimmy Butler last week and tonight looks like another good spot for it. He’s scored 26 or more in four straight games, attempting 14 or more shots in all of them. Miami is at 7th in the playoff seeding right now, but the Nets are there for the taking ahead of them so this team needs to get it together if it wants to avoid the Bucks/Celtics/Sixers in the first round.

Butler’s number is set pretty reasonably here at 24.5. The Heat have a high implied total tonight and he is their highest-usage player. This should be a close one, but I think it comes in.

Jimmy Butler Over 24.5 Points

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Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Betting Tips:

Curry and Booker are #1 and #2 on my projected points for the night, but Curry looks to be the better bet here.

For one, he’s at home and the Warriors are world-beaters at home. Second, his shot is really starting to heat up as he has scored 29+ in three straight with 51% shooting from three in those games on a very high volume. The Suns are about an average team against opposing point guards as well. This game has a high total and 29+ seems like a safe bet.

Stephen Curry Over 28.5 Points

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Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings Betting Tips:

These are two of my favorite teams to bet props on and the total is tied for the highest of the night. This should be a fun game with or without Giannis.

We’ll start with the Kings where Domantas Sabonis looks like a slightly better bet than De’Aaron Fox tonight. Fox is amazing, but Holiday should be guarding him and that is not usually a position you want to be in.

Sabonis has been doing it all of late, averaging 20.5 points, 12.6 rebounds and 7.5 assists over his last ten games. Double-digit rebounds in nine of ten games, 7+ assists in seven of ten, and 20+ in six out of ten games. He’s a triple-double threat every night and he’s really dominated the boards of late. With Giannis likely off the court, he’ll be the best rebounder in this game. With Lopez playing big minutes, he’ll be a key to the offense as well.

Speaking of Lopez, I have to bet him again here. He’s just been too good to us of late. Lopez has scored 17 or more in eight of his last ten games with the only two misses being games where he played 28 minutes or less. With Sabonis on the other end, I think 30+ is a lock.

Domantas Sabonis Over 37.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
Brook Lopez Over 16.5 Points

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