March 31st, 2023 NBA Betting Tips

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4-2 on Wednesday on Patreon.

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How it went down:

W Quentin Grimes Over 14.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
W Dillon Brooks Over 10.5 Points
DNP Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 26.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
L Domantas Sabonis Over 39.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
L Kevin Durant Over 22.5 Points – A really slow start that cost us, but got it going at the end. I guess he does rust.
W Chris Paul Over 25.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
W Mike Conley Over 18.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists

A ton of games tonight as this is the most players I’ve ever had to input into the system.

Six tips that pass the test tonight.

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Los Angeles Lakers at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips:

Conley’s number is a bit higher than the other night but still looks good. The Lakers are weak against point guards and this feels like a night where they will need some scoring from him with quite a few players listed as questionable.

On the other end, how can you not like the D’Angelo Russell revenge game? The Wolves basically gave him away when he was having a career-best season and now he gets to go at the old man they traded him for. He’s hit over 26 PRA in six of his last ten games with three others being within two points.

Mike Conley Over 20.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists
D’Angelo Russell Over 25.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists

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Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips:

This number also went up a bit, but I think it’s worth riding the hand of Brooks here. On Wednesday against the Clipper he attempted 24 shots and scored 30 points. His second straight game over 14 attempts. If he’s putting up that kind of volume, he can hit.

Jaren Jackson Jr. sat out the last game which should make him fully rested for this one. He can hit this on points alone, but should be good on the rebounding end as well as long as he stays out of foul trouble.

Dillon Brooks Over 11.5 Points
Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 25.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors Betting Tips:

Not our usual type of tip, but a great spot to take DiVincenzo’s point total. The Warriors should dominate this one which means less floor time for Curry and Thompson and more shot attempts for everyone else. He had been slumping a bit, but came back with 13 against the Pelicans last time out. Earlier this year he had 22 against the Spurs.

A huge total of 242 helps as well.

Donte DiVincenzo Over 7.5 Points
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Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns Betting Tips:

This game is interesting as right now the Suns are the fourth seed with home court in round one. You’d think they’d want to hang on to that so I expect them to compete. At the same time, it could be a potential feeling out for how a Nuggets second-round match-up might look. Is that something they want?

The system is loving the old man point guards of late, but Paul has been deserving of it. He’s always good for the assists and has been scoring more of late. The Nuggets defense is nothing to get excited about.

Chris Paul Over 25.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists