May 23rd, 2022 MLB & NBA Betting Tips

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Two MLB tips and one NBA tip for May 23rd, 2022. Unlock two more MLB tips on Patreon.

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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Betting Tips:

All due respect to Miami for the way they played in game three, but I just don’t see how that repeats itself here.

Miami set a franchise record with 19 steals in the game and only had eight turnovers the whole game. Jayson Tatum scored just ten points. Despite all of that, they only won by six points and the only quarter they took was the first.

Boston -7

Four tips today on Patreon. Two below.

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips:

CHC – Drew Smyly 3.97 ERA/4.48 FIP
CIN – Vladimir Gutierrez 8.65 ERA/7.52 FIP

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Betting Tips:

PHI – Zack Wheeler 3.49 ERA/2.66 FIP
ATL – Tucker Davidson 4.63 ERA/4.43 FIP (Projected)

Davidson looked decent in his last start against Milwaukee, but don’t be fooled. He’s not good. Low strikeouts and low walks with a high homerun rate is exactly the kind of pitcher we love to target and the Phillies are one of the best teams in baseball against lefties.

Wheeler has been solid and the Braves offense has been cold. Just a 94 wRC+ against righties and a 90 wRC+ over the past two weeks.

Phillies -0.5 First 5 Innings (-100)

Kansas City Royals at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips:

KCR – Zack Greinke 3.48 ERA/3.28 FIP
ARI – Zach Davies 4.35 ERA/4.08 FIP

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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres Betting Tips:

MIL – Adrian Houser 3.22 ERA/3.15 FIP
SDP – Nick Martinez 3.89 ERA/4.66 FIP

The Brewers offense has stayed hot and they should be a handful for Martinez. He’s been lucky early with a high left on base percentage, but Milwaukee is the kind of team that can fix that right up. They have a 110 wRC+ against righties on the season.

Houser is nothing to get excited about, but he’s coming off a great start against Atlanta where allowed no earned runs and struck out six over six innings. This park is pitcher friendly and the Padres have been below average against righties this season.

Brewers First 5 Innings (-102)
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