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Premier League 2012 Week 10 Tips
No pre-amble this week as the Premier League heads into Sheffield for Week 10 of the 2012 Premier league, as I’m rushing to catch a flight to Sheffield!
Remember if the Premier League Darts Premium Picks don’t finish the season in profit, the 2012 UK Open Premium Picks will be free to all Premier League Darts Premium Picks subscribers. As this is the first outing for our Premium Picks, I think it’s a fair trade!
James Wade versus Gary Anderson.
First match of the night sees two Week 9 losers facing each other on the oche, hoping to bounce back from disappointing defeats last week. Gary Anderson is on double duty tonight, so he’ll be looking to start the night with a bang.
James Wade was flattered by his 8-5 scoreline against Adrian Lewis last week. His average of just under 90 shows just how he played compared to Lewis’ 104.7. It was a somewhat subdued performance from The Machine and if he plays like that tonight, he’s going to struggle against Anderson. No floor form over the weekend for Wade, so we can only look at his recent results and although there was some form of a resurgence, we can’t ignore last week’s performance. However, the signs up until then were that Wade was back to some kind of good form.
Gary Anderson, not surprisingly, wasn’t in the greatest form last week, after missing Week 8 due to his father’s funeral, which no doubt affected his Week 9 performance. What can be taken away from the performance is Anderson’s 94.42 average, which put him in a better position than Wade in terms of form.
There is no doubt that Anderson’s emotional trouble paid a part in his defeat last week, but he’ll be looking to bounce back in this week’s double header. The Scotsman won the reverse fixture 8-5 earlier in the season, which is also another tick in his column. Wade’s redeeming factors are that up until last week he was in solid form, and also that Gary Anderson’s mindset might not be the best. However, for me, Anderson has something to prove and looks a nice price for the win, as long as he gets his scoring sorted.
Gary Anderson to beat James Wade: 13/10 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 2.5 units.
Simon Whitlock versus Kevin Painter.
Second against second bottom here, as both men come of the back of contrasting results last week. Both men will be fighting for the win for different reasons; Whitlock hoping to solidify his play-off place, Painter wanting to give himself the chance of reaching the season-ending showcase.
Whitlock’s 8-2 win over Gary Anderson last week was a great return to form for the Aussie, with an average of 101.09, which was a million miles away from his shocking performance against James Wade which left him losing 8-0 to James Wade. Such contrasting performances are nothing new for Whitlock, but it was good to see a solid performance when he needed it.
Kevin Painter, last week, was perhaps the unluckiest man in Nottingham, producing an amazing fightback against Raymond van Barneveld, only to lose 8-6 with an average of 100.08. It was a sight to behold and I’m sure Barney was just as amazed as we all were. That being said, it’s typical of Painter in that he produces some great performances but then just goes unbelievably cold for spells. He’ll be hoping that there’s no bounce factor after last week and that he can repeat the result of the reverse fixture, which was 8-3 to him all the way back in Week 3 at the Odyssey in Belfast.
Whitlock is no price to win this, which is to be expected, but I can’t have him at that price, even though I think he’ll win, just because Painter’s performance last week showed grit and determination. Add in the fact Painter has a win over him in the Premier League and 8/15 is just too short. However, the market I like is the highest checkout market. Both men love high checkouts, Painter needing them in a lot of his matches – Painter with a highest of 157 in the 2012 Premier League, Whitlock with a 164. The line is 121.5, and Painter came close to it last week with a 120, so it’s definitely in both men’s abilities.
Highest checkout in Whitlock versus Painter match over 121.5: 5/6 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3 units.
Phil Taylor versus Raymond van Barneveld.
Taylor has qualified for the play-offs, so will he take it easy? No. He has history with Barney, and he’ll want to show he’s the best by a long way. Barney is playing well, but he almost let Kevin Painter back in last week, and he can’t do that against Phil Taylor. Again, I’ll keep it short and sweet and say I like Taylor for this and, as expected, he’s no value. The value here is the number of 180s, with the line at 6.5. Barney has 36 maximums in the tournament, Taylor 35 and both men are good for a maximum every 3 legs or so, according to the stats. So, with around 12 legs at worst, we should in theory see 8 maximums from the men. So the 6.5 looks at least one short for me, and the bookies have it wrong.
Over 6.5 180s in the Phil Taylor versus Raymond van Barneveld match: 5/6 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3 units.
Andy Hamilton versus Gary Anderson.
Second match of the night for Gary Anderson, and a huge match for Andy Hamilton. Hamilton is sitting bottom of the league, and he’ll know time is running out to get points on the board, even though the race is quite tight for a play-off place.
Andy Hamilton pushed Phil Taylor all the way last week, coming up short to lose 8-6 with an average of 97.43. He was unlucky, with his finishing being a highlight. Hamilton lost the reverse fixture in Week 2 and will want avenge that defeat, knowing that Anderson isn’t playing at the top of his form right now.
Second match of the night for Anderson, so he should have his eye in, as so often happens with players doing double duty. He’ll be coming onto the stage after a short break, which might not benefit him, depending on how his first match goes. However, Adrian Lewis lost his first match on double duty, and went on to produce a great performance to beat Barney in Week 8.
This is all about Anderson for me. A second match should be beneficial, as he’ll already have his eye in, regardless of the first result of the night against James Wade. He thrashed Hamilton at the start of the season, and I think a win for the Scotsman should be on the cards again tonight. He’s quite a generous price considering the previous meeting, so we have to take a dabble on The Flying Scotsman to defeat The Hammer at a generous 5/6.
Gary Anderson to beat Andy Hamilton: 5/6 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3.5 units.
And that’s all from Week 10 of the PDC Premier League 2012 Premium Darts Betting Tips from Sheffield. Remember to check back next week for more darts betting tips, this time coming from BIC in Bournemouth.