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Premier League 2012 Week 11 Tips
We’re in Bournemouth this week for Week 11 of the PDC 2012 Premier League, and what a line-up we have tonight; Barney takes on Simon Whitlock, after a fantastic weekend for the Dutchman, Gary Anderson looks to stop the rot against Kevin Painter, James Wade looks to cement his place in the play-offs against Andy Hamilton, and the main event sees Phil Taylor take on his one-time student, the two-time World Champion, Adrian Lewis. The crowd on the south coast of England have a treat in store for them tonight.
A sickening week last week, hitting the bar twice, and Gary Anderson just playing abysmal darts in the other two matches. I can only apologise, as missing out by 1 maximum and 3 points for a highest checkout bet really was sickening. Hopefully we’ll get back on track this week and finish the 2012 Premier League Darts season in blazing fashion. But…
..remember if the Premier League Darts Premium Picks don’t finish the season in profit, the 2012 UK Open Premium Picks will be free to all Premier League Darts Premium Picks subscribers. As this is the first outing for our Premium Picks, I think it’s a fair trade!
Raymond van Barneveld versus Simon Whitlock.
First match of the night is huge for the play-off picture, as both Simon Whitlock and Raymond van Barneveld are in the hunt for a place in the end-of-season fixtures, and both will be wanting to avoid the 4th place, where they will no doubt be facing Mr Taylor for a place in the final.
Barney had one of the greatest weekends in his darting life, winning both floor tournaments and hitting a 9-darter in the process, to signal that although he lost heavily to Phil Taylor last week in Nottingham, the Dutchman is in ridiculously good form. The wins in Barnsley, coupled with some solid performances in the Premier League this season, along with the second highest average in the league are a sign that Barney is to be taken seriously, even though he’s teetering on the edge of the play-offs.
Simon Whitlock is sitting second in the Premier League, after some scintillating performances, but tonight is going to be a tough one for him. Whitlock was knocked out by eventual finalists over the weekend (Barney on Saturday, Ian White on Sunday), and wasn’t disgraced in defeat, although he would no doubt have liked a longer run on the Sunday. His league position is not to be sniffed at, however, and although he’s had a couple of blips this season, he’s been solid for most of it, putting in a nice average of 95.70, and that’s with one average of 80.79 in there. He’s going to be tough to beat, as always.
The men played out a draw in their first meeting this season, all the way back in Week 1. Both men have come a long way since then, with Whitlock playing solid darts most of the way through, while Barney took a bit of time to hit his stride. The fact is that Barney is in some great form right now, and if the Week 1 match was played again with the confidence Barney has now, Barney would probably edge it. I can’t see past the Dutchman at odds-against, simply because of the weekend form, and the fact he averaged a shade over 100 in a crushing defeat to Phil Taylor last week.
The other interesting market is the highest checkout market. both men are going to need a big finish, and 888 have the line, as usual, at around 121.5. I know we’ve hit the bar with this in recent weeks, but this big game is going to be important that both men hit their checkouts.
Raymond van Barneveld to beat Simon Whitlock: 11/10 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3.5 units.
Highest checkout in Van Barneveld versus Whitlock match over 121.5: 5/6 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3 units.
Gary Anderson versus Kevin Painter.
The first meeting between these two came at the start of the Premier League season, with Anderson playing unbelievably shocking darts, eventually losing 8-6 with an average of 80.84. It was a sign of things to come for the Scotsman, while Painter went on to sit in the play-offs places for quite some time before plunging into the depths of the league, with 6 points after 10 weeks.
Gary Anderson needed a big week last week, but he didn’t get it, losing to James Wade and then blowing a big lead to Andy Hamilton to come out with only 1 point. He’s had personal problems lately, so the dip in form has been understandable. The fact he only played one event in Barnsley over the weekend also sends out warning alarms for this week, as he lost 6-0 to James Richardson in the fourth round in the Saturday tournament. He just seems all at sea at the moment, and he’ll be looking to get things back on track with what some would see as one of the easier games in the Premier League to gain something from.
Kevin Painter, last week, was unfortunate to run into Simon Whitlock in astonishing form, although he still managed to take 5 legs off the Aussie, who was averaging over 103 at the end of the match. It sums up Painter’s season, in that he’s played well, but just come unstuck towards the end of matches. But he’ll be happy to be facing Gary Anderson in the form the Scotsman’s in, as he’ll be thinking he can take another 2 points, as he did at the start of the season. Painter made the fourth round, then the third round in the floor tournaments over the weekend, so not great, but not terrible, although a 6-0 thrashing from Robert Thornton on Sunday doesn’t put him in the greatest frames of mind.
The fact is that this is a tough one to call. Normally this would be a short priced Anderson taking on an out-of-sorts Painter, but this 2012 season is a strange one and Anderson is now around 4/5, where he would be 1/2 in previous years. To be honest, the stories coming out of Barnsley about an Anderson injury are concerning for fans of the Scotsman, but it gives us some value to have on a win for The Artist. Yes, Painter hasn’t been unbelievable, but he’s fit, and he’s playing, all round, better than tonight’s opponent, so he’s worth a dabble at a nice price.
Kevin Painter to beat Gary Anderson: 15/8 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 2 units.
James Wade versus Andy Hamilton.
Since the met in Week 1, where Andy Hamilton won 8-5, both men have had contrasting fortunes in the 2012 Premier League. James Wade has been getting better and better, climbing up the league, while Hamilton hasn’t improved and has slowly been sliding down the league, putting in some solid performances, along with some below average ones. A tale of two seasons, for sure.
James Wade didn’t have the greatest of weekends, losing to Terry Jenkins in the first round on Saturday, before reaching the quarter-finals on the Sunday, where he lost 6-5 to Colin Lloyd. That being said, he showed great grit to see off Gary Anderson last week, and the man from Altrincham just seems to be improving in confidence week after week.
A pretty poor weekend for Andy Hamilton, with a first round exit on Sunday following on from a fourth round defeat to Justin Pipe on Saturday. The Sunday defeat to Adam Hunt doesn’t put The Hammer in the greatest form coming into tonight’s match, but he has been solid all season in the Premier League, and tonight won’t be any different. His tournament average of 93.23 is only one point less than that of Wade, and although he’s sitting second bottom of the Premier League, his performances don’t always make it look like he deserves to be there.
The fact is Wade is the form player of the two, while Hamilton seems to have found his level. Yes, The Hammer got the win in Week 1, but Wade is a notoriously slow starter in this competition, before coming good near the end, as he’s proven in 2012. The 4/7 for Wade is prohibitive, so we’re looking at the Total 180s market. The line is 6.5, and both men have fired in big numbers of maximums over the season, while also putting in poor numbers. I can see this match being a scrap, going 13 or 14 legs, so 4 each isn’t out of the question, and the price looks tempting enough from here with that line.
Over 6.5 180s in the James Wade versus Andy Hamilton match: 5/6 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3 units.
Phil Taylor versus Adrian Lewis.
Another week in the Premier League, another Phil Taylor win? Probably. He’s 4/11 to defeat the World Champion, which is obviously no odds at all for us. I’ll keep it simple – a big checkout to come in this match. The line is 122.5, both men can do it easily, so one of them is going to do it to finish off the night for us on a high.
Highest checkout in Taylor versus Lewis match over 122.5: 5/6 @ 888.com.
Recommend: 3 units.
And that’s all from Week 11 of the PDC Premier League 2012 Premium Darts Betting Tips from Bournemouth. Remember to check back next week for more darts betting tips, this time coming from Echo Arena in Liverpool.
