September 18th, 2021 MLB & College Football Betting Tips

Two MLB System tips for September 18th, 2021.

4-0 last night in baseball!

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MLB Betting Tips:

All MLB tips based on the starting pitchers listed. Tips should be considered void if any pitching changes are made unless otherwise noted. Occasionally the “follower” will be listed as we are betting on who will pitch the bulk of the innings.

Question: What are these stats?
Answer: Check out our MLB System Stats Guide to find out.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Betting Tips:

Pitcher FIP- HR/9+ K%+ BB%+ Bullpen FIP-
Team wRC+
Rank BP FIP- L14
wRC+ L14
Rank
Aaron Nola 78 108 128 58 106 25 136 24
NYM   88 106 92 96 16 119 5
Carlos Carrasco 105 133 95 68 99 12 130 23
PHI   98 103 102 95 17 105 12

The System has been really down on the Mets, but they have been running into some great starters of late. Aaron Nola is a great starter. He’s been a bit unlucky, but he has a 4.58 ERA/3.41 FIP with a great strikeout rate. The Mets offense is prone to strikeouts and are below average against righties.

Carlos Carrasco has been up in down in his return from injury. He’s had some truly awful starts and some decent ones. He’s allowed at least two runs in six of his past seven starts. I’m just not sure I trust him and I think I do trust Nola to do well here.

Pick: Bet Phillies First 5 Innings

USA: Best Odds: -128 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.78 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
(Odds correct as of 2021/09/18 11:10:59 AM EST but are subject to change.)

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips:

Pitcher FIP- HR/9+ K%+ BB%+ Bullpen FIP-
Team wRC+
Rank BP FIP- L14
wRC+ L14
Rank
Yu Darvish 96 132 123 66 94 7 136 24
STL   93 100 88 93 20 100 17
Adam Wainwright 84 70 94 68 99 12 75 3
SDP   93 98 108 98 14 82 24

Very weird to see Adam Wainwright with better season numbers than Yu Darvish, but here we are.

This is pretty much the same story as yesterday. The Padres bullpen has been a disaster of late and they have the advantage in starter. The Padres offense has been quiet of late as well.

When you throw in Yu Darvish’s struggles on the road, a 5.57 FIP, and this looks like another easy pick for the Cardinals.

Pick: Bet Cardinals Moneyline

USA: Best Odds: -118 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.84 at BetOnline – 50% to $1000 Welcome Bonus
(Odds correct as of 2021/09/18 11:10:59 AM EST but are subject to change.)

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College Football Betting Tips:

Fresno State at UCLA Betting Tips:

This looks like another outstanding spot to grab the over.

Fresno State has two games scoring 45+ points and their lowest scoring game of the season, a loss, saw them put up 24 against Oregon. This is a good offense and they are not afraid to go for it.

UCLA has come out of the gates firing as well. They scored 44 in their first victory against Hawaii and then came back with 38 against LSU.

I trust both of these offenses to put up points today and neither defense looks like it will be able to do much about it.

Pick: Bet UCLA/Fresno State Over 63.5

Canada: Best Odds: 1.90 at Sports Interaction – $125 Bonus
USA: Best Odds: -105 at Bovada -$750 Welcome Bonus
Everyone Else: Best Odds: 1.90 at Bet365 – Get Bet Credits
(Odds correct as of 2021/09/18 11:10:59 AM EST but are subject to change.)

Support Us: We put in hours of work for free. Sportsbooks give us a small kickback if we refer new customers to them. If you don't have an account at any of the below sportsbooks yet, please sign up, claim the great deposit bonus and help us out! You have no idea how much we would appreciate it:

Or buy us a pint and some wings instead.

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