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MLB tips for September 19th, 2022.
27-20 for the month of September.
I also had a great weekend of college football bets with an 8-3 record. Those tips are now 22-14 on the season.
Six MLB tips on Patreon, four are below.
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Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:
SEA – Logan Gilbert 3.19 ERA/3.46 FIP
LAA – Jose Suarez 3.84 ERA/4.03 FIP
Gilbert is one of the hottest pitchers going right now with a 1.59 ERA/1.59 FIP over his past five starts. The Angels offense has been below average against righties on the season and I think he can have another gem here.
The Mariners offense is pretty beat up right now with Eugenio Suarez on the injured list and Julio Rodriguez potentially sitting this one out. The Mariners hit lefties well, but without them maybe not so much. Suarez has had some good starts and I think he can have another one here.
That said, I still like the Mariners to pull this one out in the end. They have the better starter and the Angels bullpen has been a dumpster fire of late with a 181 FIP- over the past two weeks.
Mariners/Angels Under 4 Runs First 5 Innings (-110)
Mariners Moneyline (-118)
Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins Betting Tips:
CHC – Wade Miley 2.89 ERA/3.21 FIP
MIA – Edward Cabrera 2.70 ERA/4.59 FIP
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Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips:
HOU – Luis Garcia 4.04 ERA/4.03 FIP
TBR – Drew Rasmussen 2.77 ERA/3.17 FIP
No team has went under as much as the Astros this season and now they have a great pitching match-up in a pitcher friendly park.
Rasmussen is hot of late with a 2.67 ERA/2.51 FIP over his past five starts. The Astros hit righties well, but they have been much worse on the road this season with just a 105 wRC+.
Garcia is an average pitcher, but the Rays have been a pretty average offense. They have a 103 wRC+ against righties and a 101 wRC+ over the past two weeks. The bullpen of the Astros is the big bonus here as they have been on fire with a 59 FIP- over the past month.
Astros/Rays Under 7 (-122)
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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips:
NYM – Max Scherzer 2.26 ERA/2.53 FIP
MIL – Corbin Burnes 2.97 ERA/3.26 FIP
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies Betting Tips:
SFG – Jakob Junis 4.15 ERA/3.83 FIP
COL – Chad Kuhl 5.33 ERA/5.32 FIP
Coors Field time and the Giants look like an easy play. The Rockies offense has just a 72 wRC+ over the past month and a 79 wRC+ against righties.
Neither pitcher is that inspiring, but Kuhl has been an absolute mess of late with a 6.20 ERA/ 5.91 FIP over his past four starts. The Giants are an average offense, but Kuhl and Coors should combine to make them look like the 1927 Yankees.
Giants First 5 Innings (-130)
