September 25th, 2018 MLB Betting Tips

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A 1-1 record.

The Dodgers showed up in a big way last night and I regret just not laying the runs in that one. A win is a win, but I had a good feeling it’d be a big one.

Our loss was the Mariners against the Athletics. I typically use caution with people coming off the disabled list/long layoffs, but I didn’t do that last night and it cost me. Paxton gave up four runs early and this one was over.

The Rockies ended up pulling a pitching change on us so that bet ended up being voided. Going from Tyler Anderson to Jon Gray and dropping the total from 11 to 10.

Only a couple games the system likes today and they are both late ones.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips:

There are some scenarios out there for chaos at the end of the season. The Dodgers going 4-2, Cardinals going 4-2, Brewers going 2-4 and Rockies going 6-1 would create a four-way tie for the Wild Card and two-way tie for the National League West. That would be a ton of fun, but I think it’s pretty unlikely.

For one, I think the Dodgers can easily do better than that. They won easily last night and I expect them to win easily again here tonight. Walker Buehler on the mound and he’s been great. A 2.74 ERA/3.00 FIP with over 10 K/9. The Arizona offense is limping to the finish with a 62 wRC+ over the past fourteen days.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers are deep and are clicking at the right time. A 135 wRC+ over the past two weeks and going against Matt Koch who is very hittable. This is an easy place to lay the runs.

Bet Dodgers -1.5 (-141)

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:

This may be our last chance to bet against Yovanni Gallardo this season so we better take it. He’s been one of the better targets this season with a 6.59 ERA/5.64 FIP on the year.

Matt Shoemaker has only made a few starts this year, but he’s looked good despite some bad luck. A 5.48 ERA/2.76 FIP/3.71 xFIP in five starts, he’s due for some positive luck. That could come against the Rangers who have just a 62 wRC+ over the past two weeks.

Bet Angels -150