UFC Fight Night 170: Brasilia Betting Tips

Graeme
By
Posted: March 13, 2020


Well it’s behind closed doors, but UFC Fight Night 170: Brasilia, also known as UFC on ESPN +28: Lee vs Oliveira, is still on.

It will be behind closed doors to an empty arena. So it’s basically like watching the prelims except that will be the whole card. No big deal.

Of course Kevin bloody Lee missed weight. What an absolute clown.

Anway the virus sucks but the world goes on. Just do what we can. I know I am looking forward to having a bunch of beers tomorrow night and watching UFC and just turning myself off from all this constant fearmongering from the media.

We’re all likely to get the virus. So stay the hell away from people who would be in the high risk category, and just think about how all this drama and stress makes those beers taste that much better.

Let’s get on with UFC Brasilia Betting Tips!!!!

UFC Brasilia Betting Tips:

2u on Charles Oliveira to win at +125 odds. Nice price on Oliveira here. Kevin Lee is struggling big time with his weight issues and is clearly not mentally prepared for this fight. Hell he’s physically not prepared did you see him get that bone bruise massage on Insta? Holy moley that looked painful.

The big issue for Lee is his cardio and with the weight issues – if the fight even happens – that will cause some serious issues for him. Olivera is the stronger striker in my opinion and I just think Lee will struggle with the cardio and that will be the big issue for him.

1u on Brandon Moreno to win at +135. I think he is a decent value play. Formiga can’t finish. Moreno enjoys to push the pace and I think will control the octagon here. His dominance in doing that and his aggression is something I am backing.

1u on David Dvorak to win at +100. Bruno Silva is a solid fighter but I have heard a lot of good things about the 17-3-0 Dvorak who is on a 13 fight win streak. This will be his first fight in UFC. I caught some footage of Dvorak in the XFN and he looks solid enough to me. When there is an unknown like this at this price, it’s often a decent little bet. Worth a little play.

Underdog play of the day: 1u on Rando Markos at +280. This is a right risky one so it’s your call. Riba has looked tremendous following her suspension but I just don’t think the odds justify it. Look at Ribas versus Dern. Yeah she was a beast but man Markos is a much better striker than Dern was, and also is better at wrestling. Markos has a solid right hand and will connect more. Especially if Ribas is overconfident.

It all depends how Ribas approaches it. Markos unfortunately doesn’t really have the TDD so that could be an issue. However this is one where I feel Markos should be more about +180 and there is value on this one.



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