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Hi everyone.
No cashes last week. Thought we might get that Horschel Top 10 one but he ended up even in the final round when even an -2 would have got us the cash there. Oh well.
Could be worse at least we weren’t on Berger. Ouch that was a hell of a collapse.
I was sweating Chris Kirk big time. I mentioned that my system liked him at 70/1 but I couldn’t back him due to course form. He was looking pretty darn good. I didn’t end up backing him at all so I hate to say it but I was quite happy when he dropped out of the top 5!
I’m a bit late this week. End/beginning of month is always a mental time for me so let’s get right into it.
Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips:
E/W (Each-Way) bets mean you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5)
My system actually likes Rahm to win here. But he is the favourite so very short odds, and on top of that he has never played in a tournament at Bay Hill. Based on that, I Just can’t advise him. 8/1 no thanks.
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$100 on Matthew FItzpatrick Top 10 Finish 3/1
This is a weird one as he is not showing up in the top 30 for my metrics for this course, but when you look at this course/current form you have to consider it. I’m a big believer in course/current form so a rare bet here as usually I stick to my data.
$100 on Will Zalatoris Top 10 Finish 3/1
I could see him higher in the top 5. He just fits this course very well and if he can perform better at putting he could rock this one. The wind may benefit him.
$125 on Sungjae Im E/W 28/1
Very disappointed in his performance last week obviously. He has the capabilities to perform well here and I am hoping it was just some bad putting variance last week. If not well we’ll stay off him for awhile I expect. However this is a very solid price and seems an overreaction to last week.
$62.50 on Corey Conners E/W 60/1
A pure metrics pick. Should perform well here, not in great form but we did see that third place last year and he stands out enough on the data I gotta include him.
Puerto Rico Open Betting Tips:
$50 on Ryan Armour E/W at 40/1, $50 on Chad Ramey 40/1 E/W.
thank you
You’re welcome 🙂