August 16th, 2018 MLB Betting Tips

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A 2-1 record last night.

It’s too bad we can’t add all the scores of our games together because we would’ve won them all thanks to that Astros game. They broke out of their mini-slump in a huge way with a 12-1 win. Gerrit Cole pitched an absolute gem and the offense exploded. A great win.

The Twins/Pirates didn’t go exactly as I expected. Neither starter even made it five innings, but the Twins were able to overcome a 4-2 deficit to win this one. Sometimes it’s good to be lucky.

The lone loss was the Red Sox against the Phillies. A combination of errors and bullpen to cost us this one, but I’m still pretty happy with the results. 2-1 last night, 5-0 the night before. We have the makings of a nice little streak here. Let’s keep it going.

A small schedule today and just two games the system likes. One early and one late. Let’s get into it.

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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips:

I like the way that the Rays have been hitting the ball of late and I’m a big fan of their new look lineup. They face Masahiro Tanaka today who is coming off a six-run start against the Rangers. The three homers in that game were especially worrisome and I’m hoping he struggles again here.

Blake Snell has been great to us this season, but I don’t love him today. The Yankees hit lefties very well even without Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez. He’s made two starts in Yankee Stadium this season (talk about bad schedule luck) and they make up two of his three worst starts of the year. He’s allowed four and five runs in those starts while every other the start of the season except one has seen him allow three or less. This is not the place for him.

I like the over up to 8.5 runs in this one as I think both starters will have issues and we’ll see the bullpen early.

Bet Yankees/Rays Over 8 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Tips:

Don’t really understand the line on this one as Glenn Sparkman is not a good pitcher whatsoever. In Triple-A this season he has a 4.58 ERA/5.47 FIP with low strikeouts and high walks. This isn’t Triple-A, he should be much worse here tonight. The Jays offense is right near league average, but they can hurt you if given the chance. They should get plenty of chances here.

Sam Gaviglio is a starter that has baffled me all season as I kept expecting him to implode and he never did. His 4.86 ERA/4.51 FIP isn’t spectacular, but it is pretty steady. It helps that he’s facing a bad Royals offense that has struggled all season with a 82 wRC+ against righties. I don’t 100% trust him, but I trust him here as I trust most pitchers against the Royals. The Jays have won the first two of this series and I expect them to do the same here tonight.

Bet Blue Jays -133