August 24th, 2018 MLB Betting Tips

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A 1-1 record last night.

The Red Sox exploded for seven runs and the Trevor Cahill blew up in an Angels loss. What’s with all the bomb metaphors in baseball? The pitching just wasn’t there in that Athletics game as the offense did show up. It happens.

The weekend is here and that means tons of games. The system has been pretty right on with these lines of late, but there a few spots that I think are ripe for the picking. Let’s get into it.

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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Betting Tips:

The Nationals have waived the white flag as they traded away Matt Adams and Daniel Murphy this week. Their offense has been a disappointment for most of the year and I don’t expect it to get much better following their departures. They face off against Jason Vargas today who has had a rough year, but has looked much better of late and has been decent at home this year. He has a 3.95 ERA/4.31 FIP at home and I can see him having a decent start here.

While the Mets have been pretty bad on offense this year, they’ve been even worse against lefties. Guess what? They’re facing a lefty in Gio Gonzalez. His last two starts have been ROUGH, but I think he does well here. The Mets tend to do that to pitchers.

It’s been a long time since I picked an under, but with the weather shifting and teams starting to care less I’m willing to go back to that well. With two weaker offenses, this is a great place to start that.

Bet Nationals/Mets Under 9 Runs

Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Tips:

Looks like I should’ve just waited a day to jump on the Oakland bandwagon as this is a much better match-up. Jake Odorizzi goes for the Twins and he’s done a fine job bouncing back after a rough April/May, but I still think he’s hittable here. The Athletics have a 108 wRC+ against righties on the year and his flyball tendencies are dangerous against a team like this.

Sean Manaea draws a great match-up here as the Twins have just an 85 wRC+ against lefties on the season. He’s coming off a start where the Astros tagged him for six runs, but that’s the Astros. Before that, the last time he allowed four or more runs in a game was in May. I like him to bounce back here and the Athletics to grab the win.

Bet Athletics -126

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies Betting Tips:

I’ve not been a big fan of the Rockies offense this year and that still stands. Imagining not trying to upgrade to Daniel Murphy when you are in a playoff race? Insane.

Anyways, you know the drill here. The Rockies are bad against righties with just a 77 wRC+ and they are facing a tough right hander in Miles Mikolas who is sporting a 2.80 ERA/3.37 FIP. Mikolas is a big time groundball pitcher so I expect him to neutralize some of the Coors Field effects here.

The Cardinals have been one of the better teams in the league of late and while I like the way Antonio Senzatela has pitched this year, I have to go with the Cards here. They have really been hitting the ball well of late.

Bet Cardinals -106