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Hi all,
We’ve got quite a few games taking place in the EPL tomorrow, and also one today. Looking at Southampton vs Norwich, it’s hard to see anything but a Soton win. Based on the metrics, Southampton -1 on the Asian handicap at 1.93 seems a decent play.
Let’s look at Saturdays games:
Leeds vs Tottenham:
Spurs coming in off that disastrous loss to Burnley. They’re decent enough away and know this one is a right crucial game.
Leeds have the worst defensive record in the EPL. They’re coming in off that absolute battering to Liverpool.
I’m really concerned with Spurs though – especially that Conte interview the other night. He seemed defeated. Have to wonder if they will fight for him or not but I could see Leeds getting something from this. Especially with them looking to bounce back, and the fear of relegation starting to appear.
I quite like goals in this one but the goals markets are brutal. I’m probably going to personally bet Leeds or Draw, but I can’t advise it. Leeds have so many missing players and may be dropping Lloris now. No bet here.
Brentford vs Newcastle:
Bookies have Brentford slight favourites here, despite the form of both teams going into it. Brentford haven’t won in 7 games while Newcastle have a 6 game unbeaten streak.
A real relegation battle. With the Newcastle results so far I’d have to think this would be a brutal loss for them. Brentford will have Eriksen making his debut which is mental. Have to wonder if that will spur them on.
I feel that may make a difference and I’m going to go with Both Teams to Score at 1.95 odds for this one. Newcastle are playing better and should be good for goals, but this is a massive clash for Brentford and I think they’ll be competitive.
Brighton vs Aston Villa:
I was extremely disappointed in Villa last week. They cost us the treble, and they also caused me to be eliminated in a big survivor competition I was part of. Very frustrating.
Brighton meanwhile I backed strongly defensively in daily fantasy EPL and well they cost me any cash there as they got absolutely battered.
Honestly I have no idea on this one. Not sure what is going on with either team. Gerrard has Konsa back which is huge for them defensively. I expect we see Bailey in there too.
I feel like Villa will squeak this one, but disappointed in that Watford performance and can’t advise betting them.
Crystal Palace vs Burnley:
Palace come in off that big Watford win while Burnley come in having stunned everyone with results over Spurs and Brighton.
The bookies have Palace as favourites here. They looked good against Watford and it was the offensive performance they have been crying out for.
I love the way Burnley are playing right now. A real show of solidarity out there. Palace always seem erratic to me. I’m going to go with draw or Burnley at 1.80 odds as they seem to be playing as a unit.
Man Utd vs Watford:
Man U are that team that are just so hard to back, aren’t they? Even in a game versus Watford. After the midweek results, Man Utd should come in feeling confident while Watford – less so.
I’m not in the habit of betting a team like Utd -1.5 or anything though so no bet for me.
Everton vs Man City:
Gotta love football. I have no dog in the race on a personal level, but I’m cheering Liverpool to take the EPL just because I love how they have come back. Plus I was a big fan of them growing up due to Dalglish & Souness.
Now their arch rivals Everton can help them out. Gotta love it.
From an actual betting tips perspective – I have nothing. I will probably chuck something on Everton or Draw at 3.50 just for fun and for the hope of a tighter title race – but man, it could be a bad day for Everton if City decide to flex their muscle.
Daily Fantasy:
A very, very tough week.
I hate backing Man Utd but if you look at clean sheets, they are probably the most likely. So probably De Gea in goal and a defender from them. If you want a low value forward I really like Chris Wood. He’s been poor but if he’s going to step up this is where he has to.
I’d say for forward and midfields just back two teams strongly and go with it.
