Golf Bets: February 5th, 2020

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This week in golf we’ve got the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-am.

Always an interesting tournament with the potential for high variance. One part of that is due to the weather as it is often rocked with bad weather. This year it doesn’t look too bad other than some wind.

It also takes place over three different courses. Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey peninsula C.C. The final round of the tournament is of course at Pebble Beach. Spyglass Hill is the one that is the most notable as that can be where winners are made, such as Phil Mickelson last year.

Phil is participating again here although I just don’t think he is worth backing at the price.

Before we get into the tips – last week was a winning week! Nothing huge but we did profit for the week and I’ll take that.

It was all thanks to a nice Bubba Watson run at the end. We almost had two cashes with Grace but hey I won’t get greedy.

Here’s the Bubba betting slip:

I said he would win a tournament soon and I think this just reaffirms it. I have a feeling I’ll be betting on Bubba for the next couple of weeks in any tournament he plays, regardless of price.

Right, let’s get on with the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am bets for 2020:

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Bets:

As a reminder, I bet at sportsbooks that do E/W betting. If you’re an American or don’t have the option of E/W betting, split your unit up onto two. One on them to win and one of them to win and top 5. If you have the option of E/W betting – do that instead.

Paul Casey at 20/1 To Win and Top 5. 2u bet.

I’m not the biggest fan of that price I must say. If it was 30/1 I’d actually be looking at a 3u bet on him. Either way it’s a good indicator the sportsbooks believe in him just like I do. His last two performances here have been stellar with that 2nd place last year, and the 8th place the year prior to that. I like the golf he is playing right now and get the feeling a win is in his future too. Hopefully here.

Kevin Na at 70/1 to Win and Top 5. 1u bet. Na works out in the metrics here. He’s not killing it at the moment form wise and he also hasn’t made the cut here quite a few times. Regardless he is well suited for this tournament, and I think the price makes it worth a play.

Adam Hadwin at 50/1 to Win and Top 5. 1u bet. Stands out on the metrics. Has played okay here. Big thing for me is more a personal thing – he had a child so took a bunch of time off. Often when golfers take time off they end up coming out strong. He looked okay at the Phoenix Open so he has shaken off the rust.

Mark Hubbard at 150/1 to Win and Top 5. 1u bet. This one would be nice wouldn’t it? My biggest win was 80/1 with Gary Woodland at the US Open so it would be nice if we could get this. He looked great last week, has the experience at Spyglass and could do the business.