May 2nd, 2022 NBA Playoffs & MLB Betting Tips



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NBA Playoffs and MLB tips for May 2nd, 2022. Unlock the entire month on Patreon.

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NBA Betting Tips::

The second half of the second round kicks off tonight with two big games. Injuries tell a tale in both of these series as the Sixers will be without Joel Embiid and the Suns will get Devin Booker back.

I saw these odds this morning and I’m just going to throw one out there. Giannis +600 for Finals MVP. The Bucks are +450 to win the championship and it’s hard to believe they win the title without Giannis winning MVP.

Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Betting Tips:

If the Miami Heat don’t cover this spread they are losing this series. That’s how serious this is.

This is similar to the last round with the Jazz and the Mavericks. As soon as the Jazz didn’t wipe the floor with the Mavs without Luka, it was over. If the Heat don’t destroy this team without Embiid, it’s over.

Miami is not the Utah Jazz. They have one of the best coaches in the league and a stacked roster. Even with half of them listed as questionable, this team has enough depth and continuity that they should absolutely dominate this match up.

Pick: Miami -7.5

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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Betting Tips:


MLB Betting Tips:

I’m working more 2022 stats into the System and starting to experiment with recent performance from starting pitchers. With bullpens and hitters I use the last two weeks as my baseline for being hot or cold, but that doesn’t exactly work with starters. I’m going last thirty days right now which covers their last four or five starts.

Two MLB picks today, one here and one on Patreon.

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Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips:

MIN – Chris Paddack 3.68 ERA/1.72 FIP
BAL – Tyler Wells 5.54 ERA/5.70 FIP

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This was a borderline play, but the recent stats put it over the edge.

The Twins offense has been killing it early with a 123 wRC+ thus far while Tyler Wells has just been getting killed. The bullpen behind him hasn’t been much better and I have them as one of the worst in the league right now.

Chris Paddack has been amazing in his first few starts and the Orioles offense is well below average.

Pick: Twins -142
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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Betting Tips:

SEA – Marco Gonzales 3.86ERA/5.87 FIP
HOU – Jake Odorizzi 6.00 ERA/4.55 FIP