May 9th, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

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A 1-0 record last night.

We got a very easy win yesterday as the Twins beat the Jays. This game was 7-0 after three innings and the team cruised to a 9-1 victory. Kyle Gibson had 11 strikeouts (!) in this game which even in my wildest dreams I wouldn’t have predicted. Jorge Polanco had a huge game, going 5-for-5 with a homer, while Eddie Rosario, Jonathan Schoop, and C.J. Cron also homered. A big win and the Twins now have the best record in baseball. Crazy.

The Rockies and Giants game was rained out last night. I would run the tip back, but the Rockies aren’t going with Jon Gray today. They play early today and I kind of like the over of 9 runs, but I’m just not sure I trust either of those offenses enough to go for it.

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Betting Tips:

I am looking for some big runs here. Mike Leake is who he is at this point. He’s posted a 4.91 ERA/5.86 FIP on the season with a terrible 2.45 HR/9. This Yankees offense is beaten up, but they have continued to put up numbers and they should continue to do so here. The Mariners bullpen has issues and I think the Yankees will put up runs today.

While the Mariners offense has also been very good this year, they put up ten runs yesterday, and draw a nice matchup with JA Happ. He’s posted a 4.93 ERA/5.56 FIP on the year thus far with low strikeouts and a 2.11 HR/9. Seattle is dangerous on offense and this feels like a great over bet.

Bet Mariners/Yankees Over 9 Runs

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tips:

Mike Soroka has been amazing for the Braves to start the season. He’s posted a 1.14 ERA/2.25 FIP with big strikeout numbers and he’s yet to allow a homerun. The Diamondbacks offense has been decent thus far, but they are probably not this good. They have a 95 wRC+ against right handed starters and this should be a rough match-up for them.

The Diamondbacks send Luke Weaver who has been really good this year with a 3.29 ERA/2.98 FIP. He’s had some big strikeout games, but looking at his gamelog something just doesn’t ring true about it. He’s a good pitcher, but I think he’s due for some regression. He is not a sub-3 FIP guy as projections had that about a run higher. I love this Braves offense and I think they get the road win here.

Bet Braves -108