NBA Tips: August 13th, 2020

Vin
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Posted: August 13, 2020


(Photo credit: Craig Mitchelldyer/Associated Press)

A 1-1 record yesterday.

The over came in easily on the Nuggets/Clippers game, but we took the loss with the Heat.

That Heat loss really hurt as the team blew an 18-point lead in the third quarter to lose by one. Miami didn’t play their starters much, but still. They should not have blown a lead of that size.

Today is a big day in the NBA bubble as it is a real win or go home time for the 8th seed in the Western Conference. Two teams will be eliminated by the end of the night and two others will advance to the play-in tournament. This is what the current scenarios are looking like:

– The Blazers can clinch their spot with a win OR a loss by two of the following teams: Grizzlies, Spurs, Suns.

– The Grizzlies can clinch their spot in the play-in with a win OR loss by Suns and Spurs.

– The Suns can clinch their spot with a win AND a loss by the Blazers or Grizzlies.

– The Spurs can clinch their spot in the play-in with a win AND a loss by two of the following teams: Suns, Grizzlies, Blazers.

As to be expected, all of these teams are big favorites today as they are playing teams that have nothing to play for. It’s not ideal for this scenario, I’d much rather see them scrap these games and do the play-in tournament with all four, but it is what it is.

We’re going to be focusing on these four games for today’s picks. The Bucks/Grizzlies and Mavericks/Suns games are at 4:00 Eastern time, Spurs/Jazz is at 6:30 ET, and the Blazers/Nets is the late game.

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips:

The Bucks will be without Giannis after he headbutted some guy and got suspended for this one. That is a huge boon to the Grizzlies because even limited Giannis minutes could hurt them. However, even with that suspension they are still only a -3 favorite here.

The thing I am looking at here is the style of play. The Bucks, with or without Giannis, absolutely let it fly from three-point range. The Grizzlies allowed 12.9 3PM during the regular season which was bottom-ten in the league. The Bucks are going to let it fly and I’m just not sure the Grizzlies with all the holes in their lineup will be able to pick it up.

The bubble has not been kind to Memphis and that should be solidified with a loss here.

Bet Bucks +3

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Tips:

The Mavs have nothing to play for here and the Suns have everything to gain. This team has been a laughingstock of the league for years and they’d love to get a win here and prove they belong.

I think they will, but I am just not going to lay the -9 to bet on the Phoenix Suns. Come on, are you kidding me?

San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz Betting Tips:

I have the same feelings here as I do about Mavericks/Suns. Everything is pointing to this being a game where the Jazz don’t care and the Spurs do, but -8 is a ton of points for a team like the Spurs.

The Jazz will be without Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley though so that should definitely open things up. I would not be surprised to see the Spurs win here, but if the Suns and Grizzlies both win early then they have nothing to play for either. Probably just stay away here.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Tips:

It’s Dame Time.

Bet Blazers -9 for 3 units

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