Follow @SBTSportBetting [Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free]
MLB tips for September 13th, 2022.
3-1 back on Saturday. Plus, a 5-3 record for college football week two and a big Formula One win on Patreon.
Another unwilling two days off. Sunday was the day where not a single person on the planet cares about baseball and there was just nothing exciting on the schedule last night.
Five MLB tips on Patreon, three are below.
Sign-up for Patreon now to get a full month of NFL, college football, and MLB betting tips. Try it for this month free. There will be no charge until October 1st.
- Exclusive betting tips. Not just the tips omitted from these posts, but Vin will also be posting EVERY MLB System play and Graeme does Golf, WNBA, Formula 1, and various non-EPL soccer tips. Football season is just around the corner too. Graeme will be posting NFL and Vin is going to cover college.
- Ad-free experience.
- Priority e-mails; receive the e-mails as soon as the tips are posted rather than hours later.
- Feeling good about supporting two guys who have worked their butts off writing sports tips on here for free for over 10 years. We promise only to spend it on beer and wings at our local sports bars!
Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips:
LAA – Jose Suarez 3.77 ERA/4.02 FIP
CLE – Cody Morris 3.00 ERA/5.12 FIP
Small sample on Morris, but really just wondering where the offense is coming from here.
The Guardians have a 80 wRC+ against lefties this season and a 91 wRC+ at home. They have a tough match-up with Suarez who has a 3.04 ERA/2.78 FIP over his past four starts.
The Angels offense has played better of late, but they still have just a 94 wRC+ against righties and a 84 wRC+ on the road. The ZiPS projections have him at a 4.24 ERA/4.00 FIP for the rest of the season. That could be high though as he’s posted a 2.35 ERA/2.46 FIP with a 17.61 K/9 rate at AAA this season. I’m willing to bet on him having a nice start here.
Angels/Guardians Under 4.5 First 5 Innings (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Betting Tips:
PHI – Bailey Falter 4.02 ERA/4.97 FIP
MIA – Sandy Alcantara 2.43 ERA/3.07 FIP
Bet Horse Racing - +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.
(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips:
MIL – Matt Bush 3.23 ERA/3.74 FIP (Opener)
STL – Jordan Montgomery 3.08 ERA/3.47 FIP
We’ve been doing well backing Montgomery in his time with the Cardinals and this looks like another spot. Over his past five starts he has a 1.95 ERA/2.29 FIP. The Brewers offense is below average against lefties with just an 86 wRC+, they are worse away from home, and the offense is down to a 90 wRC+ over the last two weeks.
The Brewers are going with Matt Bush as the opener and not sure that will go well for them. The Cardinals hit for a 110 wRC+ against righties and have a 120 wRC+ at home. It may be Luis Perdomo coming in or the Brewers bullpen will make an appearance before the five are up, either way they have struggled of late.
Cardinals -0.5 First 5 Innings (-125)
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox Betting Tips:
COL – Chad Kuhl 5.38 ERA/5.38 FIP
CHW – Michael Kopech 3.78 ERA/4.50 FIP
San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Betting Tips:
SDP – Yu Darvish 3.31 ERA/3.49 FIP
SEA – Logan Gilbert 3.23 ERA/3.49 FIP
Logan Gilbert is the hottest pitcher going today with a 2.15 ERA/1.76 FIP over his last five starts. The Padres offense is down to a 94 wRC+ over the past two weeks and a 101 wRC+ over the past month. Maybe they are just average.
The Mariners only have a 105 wRC+ against righties on the season. They are good, but they aren’t a threat to put up 5+ every night. Darvish has had good results of late with a 2.86 ERA/4.11 FIP and should benefit from the pitcher’s park.
Both of the bullpens have been better than average on the season.
Padres/Mariners Under 7.5 (-123)
Bet Horse Racing - +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.
(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)
