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4-5 last week. 47-44 this season.
A tough week last week with two losses by 1.5 or less. The amount of losses that close in the spread has been killing us over the past couple weeks.
The season is really flying by and we’re going to be in bowl season before we know it. A lot of good games on the schedule this week with real stakes involving the Playoff and bowls.
Ten college football tips for the weekend on Patreon, four are below.
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TCU vs. West Virginia Betting Tips:
This is a real trap game for TCU. They are in the driver’s seat for the Big 12 and the playoff, but they gone to war three weeks straight and might be trying to look past West Virginia.
West Virginia isn’t a great team, but they are tough at home and the offense has looked much better there as well. They are averaging 50 points at home this season compared to 34 overall.
I am not quite ready to go against TCU as they look like one of the best in the country, but this will be another war and the total will be hit. TCU has one game this season where the total hasn’t hit 69 and that was opening week. While West Virginia’s offense has proved frisky at home.
TCU/West Virginia Over 68.5
Ohio State vs. Penn State Betting Tips:
Notre Dame vs. Syracuse Betting Tips:
What are we doing with this line? Syracuse nearly beat Clemson last week and now they are favored by less than a field goal against Notre Dame. Syracuse has played and beat much better teams than the Irish thus far and they should handle their business at home here.
Syracuse -1.5
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Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Betting Tips:
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Arkansas vs. Auburn Betting Tips:
I’ve been hating Auburn most of the season, but this game is pretty big for Arkansas and their season goals. The currently sit at 4-3 with big games against LSU and Ole Miss still to come so this is pretty much a must-win coming off the bye. Auburn has won the last six meetings between these two teams so you know that has to be in their mind as well.
Auburn is also coming off the bye. They limped to the off week with three straight losses. The last two were pretty ugly with the opposing teams putting up 42+.
The Arkansas defense has given up some big points this year, but I don’t trust Auburn to take advantage of that. While I am certain the Arkansas defense will have success.
Arkansas -3.5
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Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Betting Tips:
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Missouri vs. South Carolina Betting Tips:
Really kicked myself for not taking South Carolina last week over Texas A&M. Something about that A&M team where I just can’t believe they are quite that bad. Last week’s win was impressive, but this seems like a team that is improving as the year goes on.
Missouri’s offense is not good. Take away their easy work opponents early in the season and they are averaging less than 17 points per game. Not good!
Missouri has won the last three match-ups between these teams and you know that is on the board for the Gamecocks. At home with the possibility to clinch bowl eligibility, I think they get it done.
South Carolina -3.5
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Michigan State vs. Michigan Betting Tips:
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Kentucky vs. Tennessee Betting Tips:
This is the game of the weekend for sure and the one I’m most hyped about.
Tennessee controls their own destiny as far as the SEC and Playoff are concerned. The offense is for real and this team has no quit in it. The comebacks against Pittsburgh and Alabama were games that a lot of teams wouldn’t come back from. That said, their defense worries me. They gave up those points to Pittsburgh, they made a ton of mistakes against Florida, and Alabama ran all over them.
Kentucky is a team I liked a lot early, but they have had trouble with injuries. They had a week off to rest which should help them and I think they are going to put up a fight here. Levis has a 6-0 ATS record as an underdog and this game has been close in two of the past three years. The one time it wasn’t, Kentucky won.
I do think Tennessee wins this game, but it’s just too many points. It will be close.
Kentucky +11.5
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