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Of all the opening group games, the game with the most interest is surely Germany vs Portugal. Two legitimate World Cup contenders squaring off on the first game of the groups – what a match this is going to be.
This is the opening game of Group G, a group which also features Ghana and Portugal. Germany are favourites to win the group at 1/2 odds, with Portugal behind at 11/4. USA and Ghana are way off at 11/1 and 12/1 respectively – the bookies expect Germany and Portugal to smash USA and Ghana, with both qualifying from the Group.
This game takes place on June 16th, 2014 as the first game of the day. Ghana vs USA will take place later in the day.
Germany won their group in convincing fashion to get here. They were in Group C with 3 really tough teams in Sweden, Austria and Republic of Ireland. They drew just 1 game with Sweden 4-4, and defeated everyone else. Portugal needed a playoff to get here, where they beat Sweden 1-0 and 3-2 in very tight games.
Germany vs Portugal Betting Odds:
Germany To Win: 5/4
Portugal To Win: 13/5
Over 2.5 Goals: 6/5
Under 2.5 Goals: 13/20
Germany vs Portugal Betting Tips:
As we can see – the bookies are unsure about this one as well, with fairly tight odds for all 3 results.
First of all – we can’t pick a winner on this one. We’ve ran many simulations and the odds seem right on for that one. It’s going to be a tight game, and Germany most likely will scrape through by 1 goal, but the correct result simulations go back to 1-1 or 2-1 Germany every time.
Based on that, Over 2.5 goals is not a bad price. We like that because we expect either team to utilize the counter attack. What that means is all we need is 1 goal in the first half. It can come later, but a 1st half goal would really help. Then we have 1 team pushing up and chasing the goals, while the other team is ready for the counter attack.
So 6/5 is value for Over 2.5 goals in Germany vs Portugal. Although for bets, we may stick with – well, read on in the Germany vs Portugal Betting Props section.
Bet Over 2.5 Goals in Germany vs Portugal.
Germany vs Portugal Betting Props:
The one bet that really stands out for is is Both Teams to Score.
Based on the many simulations our computer did – both teams scored. Almost every freaking simulation. Both Germany and Portugal are a lot better attacking than defending. They are both set up for the counter attack – however they both also attack too, and both teams strengths lay in attack.
We like both teams to score, and the odds are 5/6 which….isn’t too bad. We’d like higher, but this is still a solid and nice bet. We’ve looked at other variables and you could do both teams to score and Germany to win at 4/1. We’re going to play it safe early on though, and go with just both teams to score.